Latest MetService and regional model consensus positions a 14–16°C maximum for Wellington on August 13, with 15°C emerging as the most probable outcome. Wellington’s winter climatology features average August highs near 13°C, moderated by Cook Strait winds and frequent southerly fronts, yet current light northerly flow and overcast conditions support modest warming above the baseline. El Niño influences this season may subtly elevate temperatures region-wide, but day-to-day variability hinges on cloud cover, wind shifts, and any passing troughs. Forecast updates from official agencies in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日惠灵顿的最高温度?
15°C 53%
14°C 32%
16°C 10%
13°C 7%
$11,628 交易量
$11,628 交易量
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
32%
15°C
53%
16°C
10%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 53%
14°C 32%
16°C 10%
13°C 7%
$11,628 交易量
$11,628 交易量
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
32%
15°C
53%
16°C
10%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest MetService and regional model consensus positions a 14–16°C maximum for Wellington on August 13, with 15°C emerging as the most probable outcome. Wellington’s winter climatology features average August highs near 13°C, moderated by Cook Strait winds and frequent southerly fronts, yet current light northerly flow and overcast conditions support modest warming above the baseline. El Niño influences this season may subtly elevate temperatures region-wide, but day-to-day variability hinges on cloud cover, wind shifts, and any passing troughs. Forecast updates from official agencies in the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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