Recent Environment Canada guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a daytime high near 26°C for Toronto on August 13 under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–29°C because modest reductions in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow greater solar heating. August climatology places the typical high near 24–26°C, so current conditions reflect near-normal warmth without strong high-pressure dominance or heat advection from the south. Key uncertainties include the timing and coverage of afternoon convection, which can cap temperatures by 2–3°C, versus clearer breaks that favor the upper end of model spreads. Updated NWP runs and regional observations over the next 24 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日多伦多气温最高？
8月13日多伦多气温最高？
28°C 37%
27°C 34%
29°C 18%
26°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
7%
27°C
34%
28°C
37%
29°C
18%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
3%
28°C 37%
27°C 34%
29°C 18%
26°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
21°C or below
$22 交易量
<1%
22°C
$12 交易量
<1%
23°C
$12 交易量
<1%
24°C
$62 交易量
4%
25°C
$7 交易量
5%
26°C
$0 交易量
7%
27°C
$215 交易量
34%
28°C
$4 交易量
37%
29°C
$46 交易量
18%
30°C
$3 交易量
5%
31°C or higher
$8 交易量
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Environment Canada guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a daytime high near 26°C for Toronto on August 13 under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–29°C because modest reductions in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow greater solar heating. August climatology places the typical high near 24–26°C, so current conditions reflect near-normal warmth without strong high-pressure dominance or heat advection from the south. Key uncertainties include the timing and coverage of afternoon convection, which can cap temperatures by 2–3°C, versus clearer breaks that favor the upper end of model spreads. Updated NWP runs and regional observations over the next 24 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$391结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Environment Canada guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a daytime high near 26°C for Toronto on August 13 under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–29°C because modest reductions in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow greater solar heating. August climatology places the typical high near 24–26°C, so current conditions reflect near-normal warmth without strong high-pressure dominance or heat advection from the south. Key uncertainties include the timing and coverage of afternoon convection, which can cap temperatures by 2–3°C, versus clearer breaks that favor the upper end of model spreads. Updated NWP runs and regional observations over the next 24 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$391结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent Environment Canada guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a daytime high near 26°C for Toronto on August 13 under partly cloudy skies with a 40% chance of showers, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–29°C because modest reductions in cloud cover or delayed precipitation could allow greater solar heating. August climatology places the typical high near 24–26°C, so current conditions reflect near-normal warmth without strong high-pressure dominance or heat advection from the south. Key uncertainties include the timing and coverage of afternoon convection, which can cap temperatures by 2–3°C, versus clearer breaks that favor the upper end of model spreads. Updated NWP runs and regional observations over the next 24 hours will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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