Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Houston on August 11 centers on a high near 95°F under partly to mostly sunny skies with a modest chance of afternoon convection. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 94-95°F bin because typical early-August subtropical conditions—driven by a mid-level ridge, high boundary-layer moisture, and Gulf sea-breeze effects—produce daily maxima in the mid-90s. Scattered thunderstorms, when they develop, can shave a degree or two off peak readings, supporting the secondary probability on 92-93°F, while any delay in storm initiation or stronger subsidence would allow brief excursions into the 96-97°F range. Historical climatology shows August highs averaging 94-95°F, so the implied distribution reflects both normal variability and the limited time remaining for significant model shifts before the day’s maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日休斯顿的最高温度？
8月11日休斯顿的最高温度？
94-95°F 63%
96-97°F 22%
92-93°F 14%
90-91°F 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
83°F或以下
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
63%
96-97°F
22%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F或更高
<1%
94-95°F 63%
96-97°F 22%
92-93°F 14%
90-91°F 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
83°F或以下
$270 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$135 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$657 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$181 交易量
2%
90-91°F
$258 交易量
3%
92-93°F
$362 交易量
14%
94-95°F
$3,897 交易量
63%
96-97°F
$388 交易量
22%
98-99°F
$166 交易量
3%
100-101°F
$82 交易量
<1%
102°F或更高
$216 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Houston on August 11 centers on a high near 95°F under partly to mostly sunny skies with a modest chance of afternoon convection. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 94-95°F bin because typical early-August subtropical conditions—driven by a mid-level ridge, high boundary-layer moisture, and Gulf sea-breeze effects—produce daily maxima in the mid-90s. Scattered thunderstorms, when they develop, can shave a degree or two off peak readings, supporting the secondary probability on 92-93°F, while any delay in storm initiation or stronger subsidence would allow brief excursions into the 96-97°F range. Historical climatology shows August highs averaging 94-95°F, so the implied distribution reflects both normal variability and the limited time remaining for significant model shifts before the day’s maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
交易量
$6,610结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Houston on August 11 centers on a high near 95°F under partly to mostly sunny skies with a modest chance of afternoon convection. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 94-95°F bin because typical early-August subtropical conditions—driven by a mid-level ridge, high boundary-layer moisture, and Gulf sea-breeze effects—produce daily maxima in the mid-90s. Scattered thunderstorms, when they develop, can shave a degree or two off peak readings, supporting the secondary probability on 92-93°F, while any delay in storm initiation or stronger subsidence would allow brief excursions into the 96-97°F range. Historical climatology shows August highs averaging 94-95°F, so the implied distribution reflects both normal variability and the limited time remaining for significant model shifts before the day’s maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,610结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETCurrent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Houston on August 11 centers on a high near 95°F under partly to mostly sunny skies with a modest chance of afternoon convection. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 94-95°F bin because typical early-August subtropical conditions—driven by a mid-level ridge, high boundary-layer moisture, and Gulf sea-breeze effects—produce daily maxima in the mid-90s. Scattered thunderstorms, when they develop, can shave a degree or two off peak readings, supporting the secondary probability on 92-93°F, while any delay in storm initiation or stronger subsidence would allow brief excursions into the 96-97°F range. Historical climatology shows August highs averaging 94-95°F, so the implied distribution reflects both normal variability and the limited time remaining for significant model shifts before the day’s maximum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题