Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a high near 29°C for São Paulo on August 13, 2026, aligning with trader consensus favoring the 30°C and 29°C outcomes. Above-average temperatures across southeast Brazil, driven by regional circulation patterns and up to 2°C deviations from climatological norms, have elevated expectations for this winter period. Official guidance points to hazy sun or scattered clouds with limited precipitation, supporting modest daytime warming without extreme heat. Historical August maxima typically range 23–25°C, making the current model consensus the key driver shifting implied probabilities toward these narrow thresholds ahead of final daily observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日圣保罗的最高温度？
8月13日圣保罗的最高温度？
30°C 54%
29°C 29%
31°C 16%
28°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
29%
30°C
54%
31°C
16%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 54%
29°C 29%
31°C 16%
28°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
24°C or below
$201 交易量
<1%
25°C
$347 交易量
<1%
26°C
$417 交易量
1%
27°C
$585 交易量
1%
28°C
$2,622 交易量
5%
29°C
$1,589 交易量
29%
30°C
$1,029 交易量
54%
31°C
$1,234 交易量
16%
32°C
$317 交易量
2%
33°C
$326 交易量
1%
34°C or higher
$876 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a high near 29°C for São Paulo on August 13, 2026, aligning with trader consensus favoring the 30°C and 29°C outcomes. Above-average temperatures across southeast Brazil, driven by regional circulation patterns and up to 2°C deviations from climatological norms, have elevated expectations for this winter period. Official guidance points to hazy sun or scattered clouds with limited precipitation, supporting modest daytime warming without extreme heat. Historical August maxima typically range 23–25°C, making the current model consensus the key driver shifting implied probabilities toward these narrow thresholds ahead of final daily observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
交易量
$9,543结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a high near 29°C for São Paulo on August 13, 2026, aligning with trader consensus favoring the 30°C and 29°C outcomes. Above-average temperatures across southeast Brazil, driven by regional circulation patterns and up to 2°C deviations from climatological norms, have elevated expectations for this winter period. Official guidance points to hazy sun or scattered clouds with limited precipitation, supporting modest daytime warming without extreme heat. Historical August maxima typically range 23–25°C, making the current model consensus the key driver shifting implied probabilities toward these narrow thresholds ahead of final daily observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,543结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a high near 29°C for São Paulo on August 13, 2026, aligning with trader consensus favoring the 30°C and 29°C outcomes. Above-average temperatures across southeast Brazil, driven by regional circulation patterns and up to 2°C deviations from climatological norms, have elevated expectations for this winter period. Official guidance points to hazy sun or scattered clouds with limited precipitation, supporting modest daytime warming without extreme heat. Historical August maxima typically range 23–25°C, making the current model consensus the key driver shifting implied probabilities toward these narrow thresholds ahead of final daily observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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