Short-range ensemble forecasts from models like the GFS and ECMWF show a narrow spread for Cape Town’s maximum temperature on August 15, 2026, centered near 19–20 °C under the influence of a building Atlantic high-pressure ridge that limits cold-front passage and promotes mostly sunny conditions. This setup favors modest diurnal warming from light south-easterly or variable winds, with sea-surface temperatures around 16 °C providing a moderating baseline typical of the Cape winter. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact cloud-cover timing and any weak upper-level trough interaction that could either enhance or suppress peak heating by 1–2 °C. Recent SAWS guidance for the preceding days indicates fine, warming conditions across the western Cape, reinforcing trader focus on this narrow range while acknowledging residual model uncertainty two days before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日开普敦气温最高？
8月15日开普敦气温最高？
20°C 41%
19°C 31%
21°C 19%
18°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
17%
19°C
27%
20°C
29%
21°C
19%
22°C
6%
23°C
2%
24°C或更高
<1%
20°C 41%
19°C 31%
21°C 19%
18°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
14°C或以下
$21 交易量
<1%
15°C
$17 交易量
1%
16°C
$67 交易量
1%
17°C
$9 交易量
8%
18°C
$11 交易量
17%
19°C
$7 交易量
27%
20°C
$12 交易量
29%
21°C
$78 交易量
19%
22°C
$281 交易量
6%
23°C
$67 交易量
2%
24°C或更高
$17 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from models like the GFS and ECMWF show a narrow spread for Cape Town’s maximum temperature on August 15, 2026, centered near 19–20 °C under the influence of a building Atlantic high-pressure ridge that limits cold-front passage and promotes mostly sunny conditions. This setup favors modest diurnal warming from light south-easterly or variable winds, with sea-surface temperatures around 16 °C providing a moderating baseline typical of the Cape winter. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact cloud-cover timing and any weak upper-level trough interaction that could either enhance or suppress peak heating by 1–2 °C. Recent SAWS guidance for the preceding days indicates fine, warming conditions across the western Cape, reinforcing trader focus on this narrow range while acknowledging residual model uncertainty two days before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$587结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from models like the GFS and ECMWF show a narrow spread for Cape Town’s maximum temperature on August 15, 2026, centered near 19–20 °C under the influence of a building Atlantic high-pressure ridge that limits cold-front passage and promotes mostly sunny conditions. This setup favors modest diurnal warming from light south-easterly or variable winds, with sea-surface temperatures around 16 °C providing a moderating baseline typical of the Cape winter. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact cloud-cover timing and any weak upper-level trough interaction that could either enhance or suppress peak heating by 1–2 °C. Recent SAWS guidance for the preceding days indicates fine, warming conditions across the western Cape, reinforcing trader focus on this narrow range while acknowledging residual model uncertainty two days before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$587结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETShort-range ensemble forecasts from models like the GFS and ECMWF show a narrow spread for Cape Town’s maximum temperature on August 15, 2026, centered near 19–20 °C under the influence of a building Atlantic high-pressure ridge that limits cold-front passage and promotes mostly sunny conditions. This setup favors modest diurnal warming from light south-easterly or variable winds, with sea-surface temperatures around 16 °C providing a moderating baseline typical of the Cape winter. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact cloud-cover timing and any weak upper-level trough interaction that could either enhance or suppress peak heating by 1–2 °C. Recent SAWS guidance for the preceding days indicates fine, warming conditions across the western Cape, reinforcing trader focus on this narrow range while acknowledging residual model uncertainty two days before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题