Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Russian meteorological centers converge on a Moscow maximum of 19–20°C for August 15 under partly cloudy conditions and moderate northwesterly flow that limits afternoon heating. Persistent cloud cover and scattered light showers, similar to those observed on August 13–14, continue to suppress temperatures 2–3°C below the long-term August climatological average of 22°C. Model spreads remain narrow, with most runs clustering between 18–21°C, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 19–20°C outcomes while underscoring residual uncertainty tied to exact timing of any clearing. Updated guidance through the weekend will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日莫斯科最高气温？
8月15日莫斯科最高气温？
20°C 45%
19°C 26%
21°C 18%
22°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
15°C or below
4%
16°C
5%
17°C
2%
18°C
8%
19°C
26%
20°C
45%
21°C
18%
22°C
9%
23°C
5%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 45%
19°C 26%
21°C 18%
22°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
15°C or below
$31 交易量
4%
16°C
$19 交易量
5%
17°C
$402 交易量
2%
18°C
$201 交易量
8%
19°C
$320 交易量
26%
20°C
$269 交易量
45%
21°C
$238 交易量
18%
22°C
$240 交易量
9%
23°C
$5 交易量
5%
24°C
$12 交易量
<1%
25°C or higher
$58 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Russian meteorological centers converge on a Moscow maximum of 19–20°C for August 15 under partly cloudy conditions and moderate northwesterly flow that limits afternoon heating. Persistent cloud cover and scattered light showers, similar to those observed on August 13–14, continue to suppress temperatures 2–3°C below the long-term August climatological average of 22°C. Model spreads remain narrow, with most runs clustering between 18–21°C, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 19–20°C outcomes while underscoring residual uncertainty tied to exact timing of any clearing. Updated guidance through the weekend will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$1,795结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Russian meteorological centers converge on a Moscow maximum of 19–20°C for August 15 under partly cloudy conditions and moderate northwesterly flow that limits afternoon heating. Persistent cloud cover and scattered light showers, similar to those observed on August 13–14, continue to suppress temperatures 2–3°C below the long-term August climatological average of 22°C. Model spreads remain narrow, with most runs clustering between 18–21°C, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 19–20°C outcomes while underscoring residual uncertainty tied to exact timing of any clearing. Updated guidance through the weekend will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,795结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Russian meteorological centers converge on a Moscow maximum of 19–20°C for August 15 under partly cloudy conditions and moderate northwesterly flow that limits afternoon heating. Persistent cloud cover and scattered light showers, similar to those observed on August 13–14, continue to suppress temperatures 2–3°C below the long-term August climatological average of 22°C. Model spreads remain narrow, with most runs clustering between 18–21°C, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 19–20°C outcomes while underscoring residual uncertainty tied to exact timing of any clearing. Updated guidance through the weekend will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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