Recent official forecasts for Qingdao on August 13 cluster daily maxima near 29–31°C amid late-summer subtropical conditions moderated by Yellow Sea breezes. This produces closely matched market-implied odds for 30°C and 31°C because coastal advection, variable cloud cover, and model spread in short-range guidance create genuine uncertainty around the precise peak. Sea-surface temperatures near 26°C and potential easterly flow suppress inland-style extremes, while brief clear spells or reduced humidity could allow the extra degree; historical August variability and ongoing CMA monitoring updates will refine the resolution threshold in the final 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日青岛气温最高?
31°C 38%
30°C 37%
29°C 11%
32°C 9%
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
37%
31°C
38%
32°C
9%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
31°C 38%
30°C 37%
29°C 11%
32°C 9%
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
37%
31°C
38%
32°C
9%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts for Qingdao on August 13 cluster daily maxima near 29–31°C amid late-summer subtropical conditions moderated by Yellow Sea breezes. This produces closely matched market-implied odds for 30°C and 31°C because coastal advection, variable cloud cover, and model spread in short-range guidance create genuine uncertainty around the precise peak. Sea-surface temperatures near 26°C and potential easterly flow suppress inland-style extremes, while brief clear spells or reduced humidity could allow the extra degree; historical August variability and ongoing CMA monitoring updates will refine the resolution threshold in the final 48 hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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