Persistent high-pressure ridging and subsidence over northern Italy amid Europe's ongoing multi-wave heatwave continue to drive strong daytime heating in Milan, with official forecasts from sources like the BBC indicating a likely peak near 35°C on August 11 under mostly clear skies and light winds. Recent red alerts for the city reflect sustained above-normal temperatures fueled by dry soils, reduced evapotranspiration, and the urban heat island effect, though ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty between 35–37°C depending on minor shifts in advection or cloud cover. Trader consensus clustering around these outcomes reflects the narrow scientific range in short-range guidance, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at Milan Linate or similar stations before any late-day cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日米兰的最高温度?
36°C 42%
37°C 34%
35°C 18%
34°C 6%
32°C or below
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
18%
36°C
42%
37°C
34%
38°C
6%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 42%
37°C 34%
35°C 18%
34°C 6%
32°C or below
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
18%
36°C
42%
37°C
34%
38°C
6%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent high-pressure ridging and subsidence over northern Italy amid Europe's ongoing multi-wave heatwave continue to drive strong daytime heating in Milan, with official forecasts from sources like the BBC indicating a likely peak near 35°C on August 11 under mostly clear skies and light winds. Recent red alerts for the city reflect sustained above-normal temperatures fueled by dry soils, reduced evapotranspiration, and the urban heat island effect, though ensemble model spreads introduce uncertainty between 35–37°C depending on minor shifts in advection or cloud cover. Trader consensus clustering around these outcomes reflects the narrow scientific range in short-range guidance, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at Milan Linate or similar stations before any late-day cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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