Current forecast models point to a highest temperature in Paris on August 11 near 31–33°C under strengthening high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies that favor daytime heating. Recent European heatwave patterns and Météo-France guidance show elevated baseline temperatures, with ensemble runs indicating modest variability from cloud cover or subtle advection that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August maxima average 24–27°C, but 2026 conditions reflect above-normal warmth, keeping the 32°C bin as the trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability while spreading volume across adjacent outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution around these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日巴黎气温最高？
8月11日巴黎气温最高？
32°C 36%
31°C 28%
33°C 23%
30°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
28°C或以下
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C
19%
32°C
36%
33°C
23%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
32°C 36%
31°C 28%
33°C 23%
30°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
28°C或以下
$67 交易量
1%
29°C
$67 交易量
4%
30°C
$251 交易量
16%
31°C
$194 交易量
19%
32°C
$140 交易量
36%
33°C
$84 交易量
23%
34°C
$67 交易量
3%
35°C
$84 交易量
1%
36°C
$27 交易量
<1%
37°C
$74 交易量
<1%
38°C或更高
$84 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to a highest temperature in Paris on August 11 near 31–33°C under strengthening high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies that favor daytime heating. Recent European heatwave patterns and Météo-France guidance show elevated baseline temperatures, with ensemble runs indicating modest variability from cloud cover or subtle advection that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August maxima average 24–27°C, but 2026 conditions reflect above-normal warmth, keeping the 32°C bin as the trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability while spreading volume across adjacent outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution around these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,027结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models point to a highest temperature in Paris on August 11 near 31–33°C under strengthening high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies that favor daytime heating. Recent European heatwave patterns and Météo-France guidance show elevated baseline temperatures, with ensemble runs indicating modest variability from cloud cover or subtle advection that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August maxima average 24–27°C, but 2026 conditions reflect above-normal warmth, keeping the 32°C bin as the trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability while spreading volume across adjacent outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution around these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,027结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent forecast models point to a highest temperature in Paris on August 11 near 31–33°C under strengthening high pressure, light winds, and mostly clear skies that favor daytime heating. Recent European heatwave patterns and Météo-France guidance show elevated baseline temperatures, with ensemble runs indicating modest variability from cloud cover or subtle advection that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August maxima average 24–27°C, but 2026 conditions reflect above-normal warmth, keeping the 32°C bin as the trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability while spreading volume across adjacent outcomes. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution around these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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