Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a building heatwave across southeast England, with high pressure advecting warmer air masses and supporting daytime maxima of 35°C in London on August 13, driving the market's leading 36°C (35.5%) and 35°C (24.0%) outcomes. Model consensus points to peak temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius under mostly sunny conditions, though local variations and slight forecast adjustments could favor 37°C (14.5%) if southerly winds strengthen. These probabilities reflect trader aggregation of official guidance and ensemble data, with resolution tied to the highest verified reading at London stations; historical August baselines near 22°C underscore the anomalous warmth but also note typical model uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C near the event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日伦敦气温最高？
8月13日伦敦气温最高？
36°C 36%
35°C 24%
37°C 15%
34°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
7%
34°C
11%
35°C
24%
36°C
36%
37°C
15%
38°C
7%
39°C
3%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 36%
35°C 24%
37°C 15%
34°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
30°C or below
$848 交易量
<1%
31°C
$712 交易量
<1%
32°C
$124 交易量
4%
33°C
$132 交易量
7%
34°C
$43 交易量
11%
35°C
$69 交易量
24%
36°C
$185 交易量
36%
37°C
$37 交易量
15%
38°C
$56 交易量
7%
39°C
$17 交易量
3%
40°C or higher
$10 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a building heatwave across southeast England, with high pressure advecting warmer air masses and supporting daytime maxima of 35°C in London on August 13, driving the market's leading 36°C (35.5%) and 35°C (24.0%) outcomes. Model consensus points to peak temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius under mostly sunny conditions, though local variations and slight forecast adjustments could favor 37°C (14.5%) if southerly winds strengthen. These probabilities reflect trader aggregation of official guidance and ensemble data, with resolution tied to the highest verified reading at London stations; historical August baselines near 22°C underscore the anomalous warmth but also note typical model uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C near the event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,232结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a building heatwave across southeast England, with high pressure advecting warmer air masses and supporting daytime maxima of 35°C in London on August 13, driving the market's leading 36°C (35.5%) and 35°C (24.0%) outcomes. Model consensus points to peak temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius under mostly sunny conditions, though local variations and slight forecast adjustments could favor 37°C (14.5%) if southerly winds strengthen. These probabilities reflect trader aggregation of official guidance and ensemble data, with resolution tied to the highest verified reading at London stations; historical August baselines near 22°C underscore the anomalous warmth but also note typical model uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C near the event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,232结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent Met Office forecasts indicate a building heatwave across southeast England, with high pressure advecting warmer air masses and supporting daytime maxima of 35°C in London on August 13, driving the market's leading 36°C (35.5%) and 35°C (24.0%) outcomes. Model consensus points to peak temperatures in the mid-30s Celsius under mostly sunny conditions, though local variations and slight forecast adjustments could favor 37°C (14.5%) if southerly winds strengthen. These probabilities reflect trader aggregation of official guidance and ensemble data, with resolution tied to the highest verified reading at London stations; historical August baselines near 22°C underscore the anomalous warmth but also note typical model uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C near the event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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