Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a narrow range for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 13, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly winds that enhance mixing and limit afternoon heating over the urban heat island and Bosphorus. Consensus points to 27–28 °C as the most likely maximum, with small differences in model output arising from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing, and 10-meter wind speeds. Historical August climatology (average high near 28 °C) supports this tight distribution, while the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal passages keeps upside risk for 29 °C or higher low. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final value ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
8月13日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
27°C 51%
28°C 43%
29°C 5%
26°C 4%
最新
$11,986 交易量
最新
$11,986 交易量
2026-08-13
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
51%
28°C
43%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 43%
29°C 5%
26°C 4%
最新
$11,986 交易量
最新
$11,986 交易量
2026-08-13
23°C或以下
$435 交易量
<1%
24°C
$568 交易量
<1%
25°C
$715 交易量
1%
26°C
$968 交易量
4%
27°C
$3,298 交易量
51%
28°C
$2,147 交易量
43%
29°C
$745 交易量
5%
30°C
$1,012 交易量
1%
31°C
$620 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,211 交易量
<1%
33°C或更高
$267 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a narrow range for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 13, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly winds that enhance mixing and limit afternoon heating over the urban heat island and Bosphorus. Consensus points to 27–28 °C as the most likely maximum, with small differences in model output arising from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing, and 10-meter wind speeds. Historical August climatology (average high near 28 °C) supports this tight distribution, while the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal passages keeps upside risk for 29 °C or higher low. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$11,986结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a narrow range for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 13, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly winds that enhance mixing and limit afternoon heating over the urban heat island and Bosphorus. Consensus points to 27–28 °C as the most likely maximum, with small differences in model output arising from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing, and 10-meter wind speeds. Historical August climatology (average high near 28 °C) supports this tight distribution, while the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal passages keeps upside risk for 29 °C or higher low. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,986结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a narrow range for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 13, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northerly winds that enhance mixing and limit afternoon heating over the urban heat island and Bosphorus. Consensus points to 27–28 °C as the most likely maximum, with small differences in model output arising from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze timing, and 10-meter wind speeds. Historical August climatology (average high near 28 °C) supports this tight distribution, while the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal passages keeps upside risk for 29 °C or higher low. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the final value ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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