Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate Moscow highs of 17–18°C on August 14, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and limited daytime solar heating that suppress temperatures below the long-term August average near 22°C. Model consensus remains tight around these values, with minor spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any late clearing that could allow modest warming. Official guidance from agencies such as the UK Met Office currently projects a 17°C maximum, aligning with trader-implied probabilities clustering at 17°C and 18°C outcomes. Updated model runs and surface observations expected later on August 13 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日莫斯科最高气温？
8月14日莫斯科最高气温？
18°C 39%
17°C 25%
19°C 20%
16°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
10%
17°C
25%
18°C
39%
19°C
20%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C或更高
<1%
18°C 39%
17°C 25%
19°C 20%
16°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
13°C或以下
$475 交易量
<1%
14°C
$879 交易量
2%
15°C
$237 交易量
3%
16°C
$735 交易量
10%
17°C
$1,395 交易量
25%
18°C
$732 交易量
39%
19°C
$928 交易量
20%
20°C
$90 交易量
3%
21°C
$189 交易量
1%
22°C
$90 交易量
1%
23°C或更高
$155 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate Moscow highs of 17–18°C on August 14, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and limited daytime solar heating that suppress temperatures below the long-term August average near 22°C. Model consensus remains tight around these values, with minor spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any late clearing that could allow modest warming. Official guidance from agencies such as the UK Met Office currently projects a 17°C maximum, aligning with trader-implied probabilities clustering at 17°C and 18°C outcomes. Updated model runs and surface observations expected later on August 13 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$5,905结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate Moscow highs of 17–18°C on August 14, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and limited daytime solar heating that suppress temperatures below the long-term August average near 22°C. Model consensus remains tight around these values, with minor spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any late clearing that could allow modest warming. Official guidance from agencies such as the UK Met Office currently projects a 17°C maximum, aligning with trader-implied probabilities clustering at 17°C and 18°C outcomes. Updated model runs and surface observations expected later on August 13 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,905结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate Moscow highs of 17–18°C on August 14, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light showers, and limited daytime solar heating that suppress temperatures below the long-term August average near 22°C. Model consensus remains tight around these values, with minor spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and any late clearing that could allow modest warming. Official guidance from agencies such as the UK Met Office currently projects a 17°C maximum, aligning with trader-implied probabilities clustering at 17°C and 18°C outcomes. Updated model runs and surface observations expected later on August 13 will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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