Official forecasts for Jeddah on August 15 position maximum temperatures near 39–41°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds, driving the 76.5% market-implied probability for 40°C or higher. August climatology along the Red Sea coast features peak seasonal heating from persistent subtropical high pressure, with historical daily highs averaging 38–42°C and frequent exceedances of 40°C amid low rainfall and elevated humidity. Recent model runs show stable consensus without significant cooling from regional winds or cloud cover, though late revisions to observed highs could shift outcomes toward the 39°C or 38°C bins. Traders weigh these typical summer patterns against measurement uncertainty at resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日吉达的最高温度？
8月15日吉达的最高温度？
40°C或更高 77%
39°C 19%
38°C 5%
36°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
5%
39°C
19%
40°C或更高
77%
40°C或更高 77%
39°C 19%
38°C 5%
36°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
30°C或以下
$362 交易量
<1%
31°C
$372 交易量
<1%
32°C
$372 交易量
<1%
33°C
$264 交易量
<1%
34°C
$208 交易量
<1%
35°C
$220 交易量
<1%
36°C
$1,172 交易量
1%
37°C
$1,833 交易量
1%
38°C
$467 交易量
5%
39°C
$1,400 交易量
19%
40°C或更高
$2,124 交易量
77%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts for Jeddah on August 15 position maximum temperatures near 39–41°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds, driving the 76.5% market-implied probability for 40°C or higher. August climatology along the Red Sea coast features peak seasonal heating from persistent subtropical high pressure, with historical daily highs averaging 38–42°C and frequent exceedances of 40°C amid low rainfall and elevated humidity. Recent model runs show stable consensus without significant cooling from regional winds or cloud cover, though late revisions to observed highs could shift outcomes toward the 39°C or 38°C bins. Traders weigh these typical summer patterns against measurement uncertainty at resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$8,794结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts for Jeddah on August 15 position maximum temperatures near 39–41°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds, driving the 76.5% market-implied probability for 40°C or higher. August climatology along the Red Sea coast features peak seasonal heating from persistent subtropical high pressure, with historical daily highs averaging 38–42°C and frequent exceedances of 40°C amid low rainfall and elevated humidity. Recent model runs show stable consensus without significant cooling from regional winds or cloud cover, though late revisions to observed highs could shift outcomes toward the 39°C or 38°C bins. Traders weigh these typical summer patterns against measurement uncertainty at resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,794结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETOfficial forecasts for Jeddah on August 15 position maximum temperatures near 39–41°C under mostly sunny skies with light winds, driving the 76.5% market-implied probability for 40°C or higher. August climatology along the Red Sea coast features peak seasonal heating from persistent subtropical high pressure, with historical daily highs averaging 38–42°C and frequent exceedances of 40°C amid low rainfall and elevated humidity. Recent model runs show stable consensus without significant cooling from regional winds or cloud cover, though late revisions to observed highs could shift outcomes toward the 39°C or 38°C bins. Traders weigh these typical summer patterns against measurement uncertainty at resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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