Current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate a high likelihood of peak temperatures in Busan around 27–28°C on August 16, driven by persistent summer monsoon flows and warm sea surface temperatures in the Korea Strait that support moderate daytime heating. Trader sentiment clusters tightly between these bins because ensemble runs show minor differences in cloud cover, humidity levels, and afternoon sea breeze strength that could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the region averages near 28°C, but recent model updates highlight potential stabilization from a passing high-pressure system, keeping extremes below 30°C unlikely while making sub-26°C outcomes equally improbable absent unexpected rainfall.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日釜山气温最高？
8月16日釜山气温最高？
27°C 38%
28°C 25%
26°C 20%
29°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
10%
26°C
20%
27°C
27%
28°C
25%
29°C
13%
30°C
3%
31°C或更高
6%
27°C 38%
28°C 25%
26°C 20%
29°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
21°C or below
$22 交易量
<1%
22°C
$18 交易量
<1%
23°C
$9 交易量
<1%
24°C
$37 交易量
5%
25°C
$121 交易量
10%
26°C
$16 交易量
20%
27°C
$8 交易量
27%
28°C
$14 交易量
25%
29°C
$16 交易量
13%
30°C
$74 交易量
3%
31°C或更高
$10 交易量
6%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate a high likelihood of peak temperatures in Busan around 27–28°C on August 16, driven by persistent summer monsoon flows and warm sea surface temperatures in the Korea Strait that support moderate daytime heating. Trader sentiment clusters tightly between these bins because ensemble runs show minor differences in cloud cover, humidity levels, and afternoon sea breeze strength that could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the region averages near 28°C, but recent model updates highlight potential stabilization from a passing high-pressure system, keeping extremes below 30°C unlikely while making sub-26°C outcomes equally improbable absent unexpected rainfall.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$345结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate a high likelihood of peak temperatures in Busan around 27–28°C on August 16, driven by persistent summer monsoon flows and warm sea surface temperatures in the Korea Strait that support moderate daytime heating. Trader sentiment clusters tightly between these bins because ensemble runs show minor differences in cloud cover, humidity levels, and afternoon sea breeze strength that could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the region averages near 28°C, but recent model updates highlight potential stabilization from a passing high-pressure system, keeping extremes below 30°C unlikely while making sub-26°C outcomes equally improbable absent unexpected rainfall.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$345结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate a high likelihood of peak temperatures in Busan around 27–28°C on August 16, driven by persistent summer monsoon flows and warm sea surface temperatures in the Korea Strait that support moderate daytime heating. Trader sentiment clusters tightly between these bins because ensemble runs show minor differences in cloud cover, humidity levels, and afternoon sea breeze strength that could shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical August climatology for the region averages near 28°C, but recent model updates highlight potential stabilization from a passing high-pressure system, keeping extremes below 30°C unlikely while making sub-26°C outcomes equally improbable absent unexpected rainfall.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题