Current forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a likely daily maximum of 31–33°C in Shenzhen on August 14, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities across those outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical of mid-August, including high humidity near 80%, variable cloud cover, and potential moderate showers, introduce uncertainty by limiting daytime heating and influencing the precise peak temperature recorded at official stations. Historical climatology places Shenzhen’s August average high near 32°C, with coastal sea breezes and urban heat island effects adding minor variability to official measurements. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日深圳气温最高？
8月14日深圳气温最高？
31°C 39%
32°C 20%
30°C 16%
33°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
16%
31°C
39%
32°C
20%
33°C
16%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C或更高
1%
31°C 39%
32°C 20%
30°C 16%
33°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
26°C或以下
$729 交易量
1%
27°C
$14 交易量
1%
28°C
$58 交易量
3%
29°C
$0 交易量
9%
30°C
$6 交易量
16%
31°C
$1,064 交易量
39%
32°C
$20 交易量
20%
33°C
$54 交易量
16%
34°C
$34 交易量
5%
35°C
$126 交易量
2%
36°C或更高
$75 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a likely daily maximum of 31–33°C in Shenzhen on August 14, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities across those outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical of mid-August, including high humidity near 80%, variable cloud cover, and potential moderate showers, introduce uncertainty by limiting daytime heating and influencing the precise peak temperature recorded at official stations. Historical climatology places Shenzhen’s August average high near 32°C, with coastal sea breezes and urban heat island effects adding minor variability to official measurements. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,181结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a likely daily maximum of 31–33°C in Shenzhen on August 14, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities across those outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical of mid-August, including high humidity near 80%, variable cloud cover, and potential moderate showers, introduce uncertainty by limiting daytime heating and influencing the precise peak temperature recorded at official stations. Historical climatology places Shenzhen’s August average high near 32°C, with coastal sea breezes and urban heat island effects adding minor variability to official measurements. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,181结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a likely daily maximum of 31–33°C in Shenzhen on August 14, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities across those outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical of mid-August, including high humidity near 80%, variable cloud cover, and potential moderate showers, introduce uncertainty by limiting daytime heating and influencing the precise peak temperature recorded at official stations. Historical climatology places Shenzhen’s August average high near 32°C, with coastal sea breezes and urban heat island effects adding minor variability to official measurements. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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