Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles point to overnight lows of 25–27°C in Shanghai on August 14, driven by persistent summer humidity, urban heat retention, and light winds that limit radiative cooling in this humid subtropical setting. Recent extended outlooks show consistent nighttime temperatures in this range, with possible isolated thunderstorms offering only marginal relief rather than significant drops. Historical August climatology reinforces the pattern, as minimums below 24°C remain uncommon without a strong frontal passage. Trader consensus around 26°C as the leading outcome reflects this stable baseline, with limited upside for cooler readings absent unexpected model shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日上海最低气温?
26°C 45%
27°C 32%
25°C 11%
28°C 10%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
11%
26°C
45%
27°C
32%
28°C
10%
29°C
5%
30°C或更高
<1%
26°C 45%
27°C 32%
25°C 11%
28°C 10%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
11%
26°C
45%
27°C
32%
28°C
10%
29°C
5%
30°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international ensembles point to overnight lows of 25–27°C in Shanghai on August 14, driven by persistent summer humidity, urban heat retention, and light winds that limit radiative cooling in this humid subtropical setting. Recent extended outlooks show consistent nighttime temperatures in this range, with possible isolated thunderstorms offering only marginal relief rather than significant drops. Historical August climatology reinforces the pattern, as minimums below 24°C remain uncommon without a strong frontal passage. Trader consensus around 26°C as the leading outcome reflects this stable baseline, with limited upside for cooler readings absent unexpected model shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题