Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak temperature of 35–37°C in Chongqing on August 12, consistent with the closely bunched market odds. Persistent subtropical high pressure and the city’s topographic basin location trap heat and moisture, elevating daytime maxima while high humidity (often above 70%) limits nocturnal cooling. Minor variations hinge on forecast cloud cover, timing of any convective showers, and local wind shifts that could suppress or enhance surface heating by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows similar basin averages near 34°C, with occasional spikes above 38°C under clear, stagnant conditions. Updated model runs and short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around these central outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日重庆气温最高？
8月12日重庆气温最高？
36°C 32%
37°C 29%
35°C 24%
34°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
31°C or below
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
10%
35°C
24%
36°C
32%
37°C
29%
38°C
7%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
1%
36°C 32%
37°C 29%
35°C 24%
34°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
31°C or below
$402 交易量
1%
32°C
$5 交易量
1%
33°C
$120 交易量
2%
34°C
$122 交易量
10%
35°C
$158 交易量
24%
36°C
$235 交易量
32%
37°C
$199 交易量
29%
38°C
$102 交易量
7%
39°C
$108 交易量
3%
40°C
$32 交易量
1%
41°C or higher
$512 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak temperature of 35–37°C in Chongqing on August 12, consistent with the closely bunched market odds. Persistent subtropical high pressure and the city’s topographic basin location trap heat and moisture, elevating daytime maxima while high humidity (often above 70%) limits nocturnal cooling. Minor variations hinge on forecast cloud cover, timing of any convective showers, and local wind shifts that could suppress or enhance surface heating by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows similar basin averages near 34°C, with occasional spikes above 38°C under clear, stagnant conditions. Updated model runs and short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$1,996结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak temperature of 35–37°C in Chongqing on August 12, consistent with the closely bunched market odds. Persistent subtropical high pressure and the city’s topographic basin location trap heat and moisture, elevating daytime maxima while high humidity (often above 70%) limits nocturnal cooling. Minor variations hinge on forecast cloud cover, timing of any convective showers, and local wind shifts that could suppress or enhance surface heating by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows similar basin averages near 34°C, with occasional spikes above 38°C under clear, stagnant conditions. Updated model runs and short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,996结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak temperature of 35–37°C in Chongqing on August 12, consistent with the closely bunched market odds. Persistent subtropical high pressure and the city’s topographic basin location trap heat and moisture, elevating daytime maxima while high humidity (often above 70%) limits nocturnal cooling. Minor variations hinge on forecast cloud cover, timing of any convective showers, and local wind shifts that could suppress or enhance surface heating by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology shows similar basin averages near 34°C, with occasional spikes above 38°C under clear, stagnant conditions. Updated model runs and short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution around these central outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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