Recent forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and regional services project daytime highs of 33–35°C in Shenzhen on August 13, aligning with the long-term August average near 32°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, possible thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate peak readings while steering patterns keep the region under warm, moist air masses. These consensus projections explain the market’s heaviest weighting toward 34°C and 33°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the 32–35°C envelope. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies will provide the next key data points before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日深圳气温最高？
8月13日深圳气温最高？
34°C 44%
33°C 31%
35°C 16%
32°C 7%
最新
$10,674 交易量
最新
$10,674 交易量
2026-08-13
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
7%
33°C
31%
34°C
44%
35°C
16%
36°C
5%
37℃
1%
38°C或更高
<1%
34°C 44%
33°C 31%
35°C 16%
32°C 7%
最新
$10,674 交易量
最新
$10,674 交易量
2026-08-13
28°C或以下
$1,387 交易量
<1%
29°C
$712 交易量
<1%
30°C
$278 交易量
<1%
31°C
$292 交易量
4%
32°C
$531 交易量
7%
33°C
$1,458 交易量
31%
34°C
$2,341 交易量
44%
35°C
$611 交易量
16%
36°C
$839 交易量
5%
37℃
$1,186 交易量
1%
38°C或更高
$1,038 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and regional services project daytime highs of 33–35°C in Shenzhen on August 13, aligning with the long-term August average near 32°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, possible thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate peak readings while steering patterns keep the region under warm, moist air masses. These consensus projections explain the market’s heaviest weighting toward 34°C and 33°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the 32–35°C envelope. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$10,674结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and regional services project daytime highs of 33–35°C in Shenzhen on August 13, aligning with the long-term August average near 32°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, possible thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate peak readings while steering patterns keep the region under warm, moist air masses. These consensus projections explain the market’s heaviest weighting toward 34°C and 33°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the 32–35°C envelope. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,674结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and regional services project daytime highs of 33–35°C in Shenzhen on August 13, aligning with the long-term August average near 32°C under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. High humidity, possible thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate peak readings while steering patterns keep the region under warm, moist air masses. These consensus projections explain the market’s heaviest weighting toward 34°C and 33°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the 32–35°C envelope. Updated model runs and official briefings from monitoring agencies will provide the next key data points before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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