Trader consensus on the Kuala Lumpur highest-temperature market clusters around 32–33°C because typical August conditions under the southwest monsoon produce daytime maxima averaging 32–33°C, with occasional peaks driven by strong solar insolation and urban heat retention. Official guidance, including UK Met Office forecasts, points to a 32°C maximum for August 16 amid mostly sunny skies and limited cloud cover that could otherwise moderate afternoon temperatures. Historical baselines for the city show highs rarely deviating far from this range in mid-August absent major shifts in the monsoon flow or enhanced El Niño influence, which current monitoring does not indicate for this period. Afternoon convection remains possible but usually brief, keeping extreme outliers (above 34°C or below 31°C) at low implied probability. Updated model runs or any unexpected changes in humidity or wind patterns over the next 24 hours represent the main variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日吉隆坡气温最高?
32°C 40%
33°C 29%
31°C 21%
34°C 7%
$17,214 交易量
$17,214 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
21%
32°C
40%
33°C
29%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
32°C 40%
33°C 29%
31°C 21%
34°C 7%
$17,214 交易量
$17,214 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
21%
32°C
40%
33°C
29%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus on the Kuala Lumpur highest-temperature market clusters around 32–33°C because typical August conditions under the southwest monsoon produce daytime maxima averaging 32–33°C, with occasional peaks driven by strong solar insolation and urban heat retention. Official guidance, including UK Met Office forecasts, points to a 32°C maximum for August 16 amid mostly sunny skies and limited cloud cover that could otherwise moderate afternoon temperatures. Historical baselines for the city show highs rarely deviating far from this range in mid-August absent major shifts in the monsoon flow or enhanced El Niño influence, which current monitoring does not indicate for this period. Afternoon convection remains possible but usually brief, keeping extreme outliers (above 34°C or below 31°C) at low implied probability. Updated model runs or any unexpected changes in humidity or wind patterns over the next 24 hours represent the main variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题