Recent forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) models indicate Munich under persistent high pressure with southerly advection of warm air masses, favoring clear skies and strong solar heating on August 15. Ensemble guidance converges on daytime maxima of 34–35°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 54.5% for 35°C and 29.5% for 34°C. Light winds and low precipitation probability reduce cooling, while regional climatology shows August peaks typically near 25°C but elevated this year amid a broader Central European warm spell. Updated model runs through August 14 show minimal spread, though minor shifts in the ridge position could alter the exact high by 1–2°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日慕尼黑气温最高？
8月15日慕尼黑气温最高？
35°C 54%
34°C 30%
36°C 11%
33°C 7%
最新
$15,112 交易量
最新
$15,112 交易量
2026-08-15
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
7%
34°C
30%
35°C
54%
36°C
11%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 54%
34°C 30%
36°C 11%
33°C 7%
最新
$15,112 交易量
最新
$15,112 交易量
2026-08-15
29°C or below
$226 交易量
<1%
30°C
$175 交易量
<1%
31°C
$692 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,133 交易量
2%
33°C
$3,361 交易量
7%
34°C
$3,149 交易量
30%
35°C
$3,322 交易量
54%
36°C
$1,443 交易量
11%
37°C
$553 交易量
1%
38°C
$629 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$430 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) models indicate Munich under persistent high pressure with southerly advection of warm air masses, favoring clear skies and strong solar heating on August 15. Ensemble guidance converges on daytime maxima of 34–35°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 54.5% for 35°C and 29.5% for 34°C. Light winds and low precipitation probability reduce cooling, while regional climatology shows August peaks typically near 25°C but elevated this year amid a broader Central European warm spell. Updated model runs through August 14 show minimal spread, though minor shifts in the ridge position could alter the exact high by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$15,112结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) models indicate Munich under persistent high pressure with southerly advection of warm air masses, favoring clear skies and strong solar heating on August 15. Ensemble guidance converges on daytime maxima of 34–35°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 54.5% for 35°C and 29.5% for 34°C. Light winds and low precipitation probability reduce cooling, while regional climatology shows August peaks typically near 25°C but elevated this year amid a broader Central European warm spell. Updated model runs through August 14 show minimal spread, though minor shifts in the ridge position could alter the exact high by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,112结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) models indicate Munich under persistent high pressure with southerly advection of warm air masses, favoring clear skies and strong solar heating on August 15. Ensemble guidance converges on daytime maxima of 34–35°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 54.5% for 35°C and 29.5% for 34°C. Light winds and low precipitation probability reduce cooling, while regional climatology shows August peaks typically near 25°C but elevated this year amid a broader Central European warm spell. Updated model runs through August 14 show minimal spread, though minor shifts in the ridge position could alter the exact high by 1–2°C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题