Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models show Munich under stable high pressure with southerly flow, supporting daytime maxima of 31–32°C on August 16 amid minimal cloud cover initially and low precipitation probability. These conditions favor the market’s tight clustering around 31°C (38.5%) and 32°C (32.5%), reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day showers that could cap peaks. Historical August baselines near 25°C underscore the anomalous warmth, while resolution hinges on official DWD observations; traders weigh the narrow window before final verification against potential steering shifts or convective cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日慕尼黑气温最高？
8月16日慕尼黑气温最高？
31°C 39%
32°C 30%
30°C 15%
33°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
28°C or below
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
15%
31°C
39%
32°C
30%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 30%
30°C 15%
33°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
28°C or below
$58 交易量
2%
29°C
$87 交易量
4%
30°C
$432 交易量
15%
31°C
$2,198 交易量
39%
32°C
$788 交易量
30%
33°C
$390 交易量
10%
34°C
$144 交易量
2%
35°C
$80 交易量
3%
36°C
$814 交易量
<1%
37°C
$923 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$238 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models show Munich under stable high pressure with southerly flow, supporting daytime maxima of 31–32°C on August 16 amid minimal cloud cover initially and low precipitation probability. These conditions favor the market’s tight clustering around 31°C (38.5%) and 32°C (32.5%), reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day showers that could cap peaks. Historical August baselines near 25°C underscore the anomalous warmth, while resolution hinges on official DWD observations; traders weigh the narrow window before final verification against potential steering shifts or convective cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,784结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models show Munich under stable high pressure with southerly flow, supporting daytime maxima of 31–32°C on August 16 amid minimal cloud cover initially and low precipitation probability. These conditions favor the market’s tight clustering around 31°C (38.5%) and 32°C (32.5%), reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day showers that could cap peaks. Historical August baselines near 25°C underscore the anomalous warmth, while resolution hinges on official DWD observations; traders weigh the narrow window before final verification against potential steering shifts or convective cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,784结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service models show Munich under stable high pressure with southerly flow, supporting daytime maxima of 31–32°C on August 16 amid minimal cloud cover initially and low precipitation probability. These conditions favor the market’s tight clustering around 31°C (38.5%) and 32°C (32.5%), reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day showers that could cap peaks. Historical August baselines near 25°C underscore the anomalous warmth, while resolution hinges on official DWD observations; traders weigh the narrow window before final verification against potential steering shifts or convective cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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