**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 14 peak temperature centers on 31–32 °C outcomes, reflecting a tightening balance between lingering summer heat and incoming moisture.** A persistent heatwave, linked to Tropical Storm Dolphin and very-hot-weather warnings, has driven recent daily maxima near or above 34 °C, yet official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models point to increasing thundery showers by mid-week that should cap afternoon temperatures. Subtropical monsoon flow, high boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island effects typically add 1–2 °C to coastal readings, while cloud cover and rainfall reduce solar heating and limit convective intensification. Historical August climatology shows a 32 °C mean maximum, but the current pattern’s steering flow and timing of shower onset introduce enough forecast spread to keep 30 °C and 33 °C probabilities live. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing on shower coverage will be the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日香港气温最高？
8月14日香港气温最高？
31°C 38%
32°C 28%
30°C 16%
33°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
16%
31°C
38%
32°C
28%
33°C
8%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 28%
30°C 16%
33°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
26°C or below
$300 交易量
<1%
27°C
$254 交易量
<1%
28°C
$367 交易量
1%
29°C
$695 交易量
7%
30°C
$723 交易量
16%
31°C
$838 交易量
38%
32°C
$1,491 交易量
28%
33°C
$195 交易量
8%
34°C
$245 交易量
4%
35°C
$202 交易量
1%
36°C or higher
$261 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 14 peak temperature centers on 31–32 °C outcomes, reflecting a tightening balance between lingering summer heat and incoming moisture.** A persistent heatwave, linked to Tropical Storm Dolphin and very-hot-weather warnings, has driven recent daily maxima near or above 34 °C, yet official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models point to increasing thundery showers by mid-week that should cap afternoon temperatures. Subtropical monsoon flow, high boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island effects typically add 1–2 °C to coastal readings, while cloud cover and rainfall reduce solar heating and limit convective intensification. Historical August climatology shows a 32 °C mean maximum, but the current pattern’s steering flow and timing of shower onset introduce enough forecast spread to keep 30 °C and 33 °C probabilities live. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing on shower coverage will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$5,572结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 14 peak temperature centers on 31–32 °C outcomes, reflecting a tightening balance between lingering summer heat and incoming moisture.** A persistent heatwave, linked to Tropical Storm Dolphin and very-hot-weather warnings, has driven recent daily maxima near or above 34 °C, yet official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models point to increasing thundery showers by mid-week that should cap afternoon temperatures. Subtropical monsoon flow, high boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island effects typically add 1–2 °C to coastal readings, while cloud cover and rainfall reduce solar heating and limit convective intensification. Historical August climatology shows a 32 °C mean maximum, but the current pattern’s steering flow and timing of shower onset introduce enough forecast spread to keep 30 °C and 33 °C probabilities live. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing on shower coverage will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,572结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s August 14 peak temperature centers on 31–32 °C outcomes, reflecting a tightening balance between lingering summer heat and incoming moisture.** A persistent heatwave, linked to Tropical Storm Dolphin and very-hot-weather warnings, has driven recent daily maxima near or above 34 °C, yet official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models point to increasing thundery showers by mid-week that should cap afternoon temperatures. Subtropical monsoon flow, high boundary-layer humidity, and urban heat-island effects typically add 1–2 °C to coastal readings, while cloud cover and rainfall reduce solar heating and limit convective intensification. Historical August climatology shows a 32 °C mean maximum, but the current pattern’s steering flow and timing of shower onset introduce enough forecast spread to keep 30 °C and 33 °C probabilities live. Updated model runs and the next HKO briefing on shower coverage will be the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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