Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and regional models project a high near 84°F in New York City on August 14, 2026, consistent with the normal August Central Park high of 83–84°F and supporting the market's concentration on 86–89°F outcomes. Milder steering patterns and moderate humidity are limiting strong daytime heating or convective cooling, while broader seasonal outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center indicate a lean toward above-average temperatures for the month. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with only low-probability scenarios for 90°F+ tied to unexpected clear-sky intensification or for sub-84°F readings from increased cloud cover. Updated National Weather Service guidance closer to the date will refine these ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月14日的最高温度？
纽约市8月14日的最高温度？
86-87°F 44%
88-89°F 30%
84-85°F 12%
90-91°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
81°F or below
2%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
44%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 44%
88-89°F 30%
84-85°F 12%
90-91°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
81°F or below
$30 交易量
2%
82-83°F
$354 交易量
5%
84-85°F
$413 交易量
12%
86-87°F
$350 交易量
44%
88-89°F
$295 交易量
30%
90-91°F
$118 交易量
7%
92-93°F
$319 交易量
3%
94-95°F
$310 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$325 交易量
<1%
98-99°F
$596 交易量
<1%
100°F or higher
$596 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and regional models project a high near 84°F in New York City on August 14, 2026, consistent with the normal August Central Park high of 83–84°F and supporting the market's concentration on 86–89°F outcomes. Milder steering patterns and moderate humidity are limiting strong daytime heating or convective cooling, while broader seasonal outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center indicate a lean toward above-average temperatures for the month. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with only low-probability scenarios for 90°F+ tied to unexpected clear-sky intensification or for sub-84°F readings from increased cloud cover. Updated National Weather Service guidance closer to the date will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$3,706结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and regional models project a high near 84°F in New York City on August 14, 2026, consistent with the normal August Central Park high of 83–84°F and supporting the market's concentration on 86–89°F outcomes. Milder steering patterns and moderate humidity are limiting strong daytime heating or convective cooling, while broader seasonal outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center indicate a lean toward above-average temperatures for the month. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with only low-probability scenarios for 90°F+ tied to unexpected clear-sky intensification or for sub-84°F readings from increased cloud cover. Updated National Weather Service guidance closer to the date will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,706结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETCurrent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and regional models project a high near 84°F in New York City on August 14, 2026, consistent with the normal August Central Park high of 83–84°F and supporting the market's concentration on 86–89°F outcomes. Milder steering patterns and moderate humidity are limiting strong daytime heating or convective cooling, while broader seasonal outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center indicate a lean toward above-average temperatures for the month. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with only low-probability scenarios for 90°F+ tied to unexpected clear-sky intensification or for sub-84°F readings from increased cloud cover. Updated National Weather Service guidance closer to the date will refine these ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题