The dominant market consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 14, 2026, reflects official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), where the National Weather Service recorded a minimum near that range overnight under typical mid-August conditions. Weak pressure gradients and light winds limited nocturnal cooling while urban heat retention and warm Atlantic moisture kept temperatures elevated compared to historical averages around 70°F. No significant cold advection or cloud cover changes altered the outcome. This aligns with NOAA climatological data showing minimal day-to-day variability in late summer. Only an unexpected instrument anomaly or revised station report could realistically shift resolution outside this bracket.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月14日的最低温度？
纽约市8月14日的最低温度？
74-75°F 100.0%
63°F或更低 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$13,380 交易量
$13,380 交易量
2026-08-14
63°F或更低
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
是
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81华氏度
否
82°F或更高
否
74-75°F 100.0%
63°F或更低 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$13,380 交易量
$13,380 交易量
2026-08-14
63°F或更低
$301 交易量
否
64-65°F
$321 交易量
否
66-67°F
$704 交易量
否
68-69°F
$2,226 交易量
否
70-71°F
$1,487 交易量
否
72-73°F
$1,916 交易量
否
74-75°F
$2,733 交易量
是
76-77°F
$1,498 交易量
否
78-79°F
$738 交易量
否
80-81华氏度
$758 交易量
否
82°F或更高
$698 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 14, 2026, reflects official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), where the National Weather Service recorded a minimum near that range overnight under typical mid-August conditions. Weak pressure gradients and light winds limited nocturnal cooling while urban heat retention and warm Atlantic moisture kept temperatures elevated compared to historical averages around 70°F. No significant cold advection or cloud cover changes altered the outcome. This aligns with NOAA climatological data showing minimal day-to-day variability in late summer. Only an unexpected instrument anomaly or revised station report could realistically shift resolution outside this bracket.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$13,380结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant market consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 14, 2026, reflects official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), where the National Weather Service recorded a minimum near that range overnight under typical mid-August conditions. Weak pressure gradients and light winds limited nocturnal cooling while urban heat retention and warm Atlantic moisture kept temperatures elevated compared to historical averages around 70°F. No significant cold advection or cloud cover changes altered the outcome. This aligns with NOAA climatological data showing minimal day-to-day variability in late summer. Only an unexpected instrument anomaly or revised station report could realistically shift resolution outside this bracket.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,380结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The dominant market consensus on a 74-75°F low for New York City on August 14, 2026, reflects official observations from the LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), where the National Weather Service recorded a minimum near that range overnight under typical mid-August conditions. Weak pressure gradients and light winds limited nocturnal cooling while urban heat retention and warm Atlantic moisture kept temperatures elevated compared to historical averages around 70°F. No significant cold advection or cloud cover changes altered the outcome. This aligns with NOAA climatological data showing minimal day-to-day variability in late summer. Only an unexpected instrument anomaly or revised station report could realistically shift resolution outside this bracket.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题