Recent cooling after an early-to-mid August heatwave across northern France has positioned overnight lows near 17–18°C as the market favorite for Paris on August 17. Synoptic patterns show weakening high pressure and increasing cloud cover with light northerly flow, limiting radiational cooling while suppressing the urban heat island effect. Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models (ECMWF/GFS) currently cluster minimum temperatures in the 16–18°C range, consistent with August climatology of 15–18°C lows but tempered by the post-heatwave relaxation. Minor model spread around frontal timing or residual moisture could shift the exact minimum by 1°C, keeping the distribution centered on 17–18°C with lower probabilities for 16°C or below. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any probability shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日巴黎最低气温？
8月17日巴黎最低气温？
18°C 41%
17°C 27%
16°C或以下 13%
19°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
16°C或以下
13%
17°C
27%
18°C
46%
19°C
11%
20°C
7%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
<1%
18°C 41%
17°C 27%
16°C或以下 13%
19°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
16°C或以下
$158 交易量
13%
17°C
$1,350 交易量
27%
18°C
$429 交易量
46%
19°C
$300 交易量
11%
20°C
$115 交易量
7%
21°C
$114 交易量
3%
22°C
$103 交易量
1%
23°C
$5,904 交易量
<1%
24°C
$392 交易量
<1%
25°C
$228 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$228 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after an early-to-mid August heatwave across northern France has positioned overnight lows near 17–18°C as the market favorite for Paris on August 17. Synoptic patterns show weakening high pressure and increasing cloud cover with light northerly flow, limiting radiational cooling while suppressing the urban heat island effect. Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models (ECMWF/GFS) currently cluster minimum temperatures in the 16–18°C range, consistent with August climatology of 15–18°C lows but tempered by the post-heatwave relaxation. Minor model spread around frontal timing or residual moisture could shift the exact minimum by 1°C, keeping the distribution centered on 17–18°C with lower probabilities for 16°C or below. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$9,323结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after an early-to-mid August heatwave across northern France has positioned overnight lows near 17–18°C as the market favorite for Paris on August 17. Synoptic patterns show weakening high pressure and increasing cloud cover with light northerly flow, limiting radiational cooling while suppressing the urban heat island effect. Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models (ECMWF/GFS) currently cluster minimum temperatures in the 16–18°C range, consistent with August climatology of 15–18°C lows but tempered by the post-heatwave relaxation. Minor model spread around frontal timing or residual moisture could shift the exact minimum by 1°C, keeping the distribution centered on 17–18°C with lower probabilities for 16°C or below. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,323结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent cooling after an early-to-mid August heatwave across northern France has positioned overnight lows near 17–18°C as the market favorite for Paris on August 17. Synoptic patterns show weakening high pressure and increasing cloud cover with light northerly flow, limiting radiational cooling while suppressing the urban heat island effect. Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models (ECMWF/GFS) currently cluster minimum temperatures in the 16–18°C range, consistent with August climatology of 15–18°C lows but tempered by the post-heatwave relaxation. Minor model spread around frontal timing or residual moisture could shift the exact minimum by 1°C, keeping the distribution centered on 17–18°C with lower probabilities for 16°C or below. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any probability shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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