Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a minimum temperature of 18–19°C in London overnight into August 17, with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes reflecting residual uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Clear or partly cloudy skies under light winds would enhance radiative cooling and favor the lower end of the range, while increased humidity or a modest increase in southerly flow could limit the drop and support 19–20°C. Historical August minima average near 14–15°C, but current warm advection from the continent has elevated the baseline, leaving only modest downside risk to 17°C or below if models trend cooler in the final runs. Updated NWP guidance and observational data over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日伦敦最低气温？
8月17日伦敦最低气温？
19°C 37%
18°C 31%
17°C 14%
20°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
14%
18°C
31%
19°C
37%
20°C
12%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C或更高
<1%
19°C 37%
18°C 31%
17°C 14%
20°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
13°C或以下
$74 交易量
<1%
14°C
$59 交易量
1%
15°C
$46 交易量
1%
16°C
$49 交易量
5%
17°C
$169 交易量
14%
18°C
$2,259 交易量
31%
19°C
$1,421 交易量
37%
20°C
$1,141 交易量
12%
21°C
$69 交易量
2%
22°C
$309 交易量
1%
23°C或更高
$264 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a minimum temperature of 18–19°C in London overnight into August 17, with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes reflecting residual uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Clear or partly cloudy skies under light winds would enhance radiative cooling and favor the lower end of the range, while increased humidity or a modest increase in southerly flow could limit the drop and support 19–20°C. Historical August minima average near 14–15°C, but current warm advection from the continent has elevated the baseline, leaving only modest downside risk to 17°C or below if models trend cooler in the final runs. Updated NWP guidance and observational data over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$5,860结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a minimum temperature of 18–19°C in London overnight into August 17, with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes reflecting residual uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Clear or partly cloudy skies under light winds would enhance radiative cooling and favor the lower end of the range, while increased humidity or a modest increase in southerly flow could limit the drop and support 19–20°C. Historical August minima average near 14–15°C, but current warm advection from the continent has elevated the baseline, leaving only modest downside risk to 17°C or below if models trend cooler in the final runs. Updated NWP guidance and observational data over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,860结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a minimum temperature of 18–19°C in London overnight into August 17, with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes reflecting residual uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Clear or partly cloudy skies under light winds would enhance radiative cooling and favor the lower end of the range, while increased humidity or a modest increase in southerly flow could limit the drop and support 19–20°C. Historical August minima average near 14–15°C, but current warm advection from the continent has elevated the baseline, leaving only modest downside risk to 17°C or below if models trend cooler in the final runs. Updated NWP guidance and observational data over the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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