Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to partly cloudy conditions with scattered showers moderating Beijing’s peak temperature on August 17 near 31–33 °C. Late-summer atmospheric patterns, including weakening monsoon flow and increasing cloud cover, typically suppress daytime maxima after mid-August peaks, aligning with climatological averages around 30 °C and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds on these three outcomes. Updated forecasts showing limited intensification potential and no heatwave signals reinforce trader positioning, while any shift in steering patterns or rainfall timing could alter the final observed high before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日北京气温最高？
8月17日北京气温最高？
32°C 42%
33°C 26%
31°C 20%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
20%
32°C
42%
33°C
26%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 42%
33°C 26%
31°C 20%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
27°C or below
$260 交易量
1%
28°C
$786 交易量
1%
29°C
$795 交易量
3%
30°C
$587 交易量
7%
31°C
$1,068 交易量
20%
32°C
$371 交易量
42%
33°C
$261 交易量
26%
34°C
$482 交易量
7%
35°C
$131 交易量
1%
36°C
$550 交易量
1%
37°C or higher
$388 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to partly cloudy conditions with scattered showers moderating Beijing’s peak temperature on August 17 near 31–33 °C. Late-summer atmospheric patterns, including weakening monsoon flow and increasing cloud cover, typically suppress daytime maxima after mid-August peaks, aligning with climatological averages around 30 °C and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds on these three outcomes. Updated forecasts showing limited intensification potential and no heatwave signals reinforce trader positioning, while any shift in steering patterns or rainfall timing could alter the final observed high before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
交易量
$5,679结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to partly cloudy conditions with scattered showers moderating Beijing’s peak temperature on August 17 near 31–33 °C. Late-summer atmospheric patterns, including weakening monsoon flow and increasing cloud cover, typically suppress daytime maxima after mid-August peaks, aligning with climatological averages around 30 °C and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds on these three outcomes. Updated forecasts showing limited intensification potential and no heatwave signals reinforce trader positioning, while any shift in steering patterns or rainfall timing could alter the final observed high before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,679结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETRecent model consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to partly cloudy conditions with scattered showers moderating Beijing’s peak temperature on August 17 near 31–33 °C. Late-summer atmospheric patterns, including weakening monsoon flow and increasing cloud cover, typically suppress daytime maxima after mid-August peaks, aligning with climatological averages around 30 °C and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds on these three outcomes. Updated forecasts showing limited intensification potential and no heatwave signals reinforce trader positioning, while any shift in steering patterns or rainfall timing could alter the final observed high before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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