Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate seasonable conditions for August 15 in New York City, with a projected high near the 1991–2020 Central Park average of 83–84°F under sunny skies and light winds. This consensus, driven by stable high pressure and typical late-summer atmospheric patterns without notable heat advection or cloud cover, positions the 82–83°F bin as the market favorite. Recent days showed slightly warmer readings around 86°F, yet cooling trends and model agreement have narrowed expectations toward the lower end of the seasonal range. Traders weigh the low odds for extremes against historical variability in peak afternoon temperatures measured at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月15日的最高温度？
纽约市8月15日的最高温度？
82-83°F 55%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 15%
86-87°F 2%
$22,993 交易量
$22,993 交易量
2026-08-15
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
55%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 55%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 15%
86-87°F 2%
$22,993 交易量
$22,993 交易量
2026-08-15
75°F or below
$575 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$1,354 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$1,510 交易量
2%
80-81°F
$4,023 交易量
15%
82-83°F
$5,946 交易量
55%
84-85°F
$3,387 交易量
27%
86-87°F
$2,172 交易量
2%
88-89°F
$1,881 交易量
1%
90-91°F
$1,296 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$301 交易量
<1%
94°F or higher
$548 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate seasonable conditions for August 15 in New York City, with a projected high near the 1991–2020 Central Park average of 83–84°F under sunny skies and light winds. This consensus, driven by stable high pressure and typical late-summer atmospheric patterns without notable heat advection or cloud cover, positions the 82–83°F bin as the market favorite. Recent days showed slightly warmer readings around 86°F, yet cooling trends and model agreement have narrowed expectations toward the lower end of the seasonal range. Traders weigh the low odds for extremes against historical variability in peak afternoon temperatures measured at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$22,993结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate seasonable conditions for August 15 in New York City, with a projected high near the 1991–2020 Central Park average of 83–84°F under sunny skies and light winds. This consensus, driven by stable high pressure and typical late-summer atmospheric patterns without notable heat advection or cloud cover, positions the 82–83°F bin as the market favorite. Recent days showed slightly warmer readings around 86°F, yet cooling trends and model agreement have narrowed expectations toward the lower end of the seasonal range. Traders weigh the low odds for extremes against historical variability in peak afternoon temperatures measured at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,993结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources indicate seasonable conditions for August 15 in New York City, with a projected high near the 1991–2020 Central Park average of 83–84°F under sunny skies and light winds. This consensus, driven by stable high pressure and typical late-summer atmospheric patterns without notable heat advection or cloud cover, positions the 82–83°F bin as the market favorite. Recent days showed slightly warmer readings around 86°F, yet cooling trends and model agreement have narrowed expectations toward the lower end of the seasonal range. Traders weigh the low odds for extremes against historical variability in peak afternoon temperatures measured at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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