Trader sentiment for August 2026 temperature anomalies centers on sustained global warming from greenhouse gas accumulation, with recent NOAA and NASA data showing anomalies near 1.4°C amid neutral-to-weak La Niña conditions following earlier ENSO variability. Ocean heat content and reduced Arctic sea ice amplify summer temperatures, while atmospheric patterns like the NAO influence regional heat distribution. Closely matched probabilities around 1.30–1.45°C versus higher outcomes hinge on whether late-month cooling from strengthened trade winds or cloud feedbacks materializes, versus persistent heatwave conditions. Official monthly releases will clarify resolution thresholds against historical baselines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年8月温度升高（ ºC ） （更高的罢工）
2026年8月温度升高（ ºC ） （更高的罢工）
1.34–1.37ºC 39%
>1.45ºC 39%
1.30–1.33ºC 38%
1.38–1.41ºC 38%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
<1.30ºC
24%
1.30–1.33ºC
38%
1.34–1.37ºC
39%
1.38–1.41ºC
38%
1.42–1.45ºC
36%
>1.45ºC
39%
1.34–1.37ºC 39%
>1.45ºC 39%
1.30–1.33ºC 38%
1.38–1.41ºC 38%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
<1.30ºC
$0 交易量
24%
1.30–1.33ºC
$0 交易量
38%
1.34–1.37ºC
$0 交易量
39%
1.38–1.41ºC
$0 交易量
38%
1.42–1.45ºC
$0 交易量
36%
>1.45ºC
$0 交易量
39%
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Trader sentiment for August 2026 temperature anomalies centers on sustained global warming from greenhouse gas accumulation, with recent NOAA and NASA data showing anomalies near 1.4°C amid neutral-to-weak La Niña conditions following earlier ENSO variability. Ocean heat content and reduced Arctic sea ice amplify summer temperatures, while atmospheric patterns like the NAO influence regional heat distribution. Closely matched probabilities around 1.30–1.45°C versus higher outcomes hinge on whether late-month cooling from strengthened trade winds or cloud feedbacks materializes, versus persistent heatwave conditions. Official monthly releases will clarify resolution thresholds against historical baselines.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Trader sentiment for August 2026 temperature anomalies centers on sustained global warming from greenhouse gas accumulation, with recent NOAA and NASA data showing anomalies near 1.4°C amid neutral-to-weak La Niña conditions following earlier ENSO variability. Ocean heat content and reduced Arctic sea ice amplify summer temperatures, while atmospheric patterns like the NAO influence regional heat distribution. Closely matched probabilities around 1.30–1.45°C versus higher outcomes hinge on whether late-month cooling from strengthened trade winds or cloud feedbacks materializes, versus persistent heatwave conditions. Official monthly releases will clarify resolution thresholds against historical baselines.
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 when it is released.
An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for August 2026 temperature anomalies centers on sustained global warming from greenhouse gas accumulation, with recent NOAA and NASA data showing anomalies near 1.4°C amid neutral-to-weak La Niña conditions following earlier ENSO variability. Ocean heat content and reduced Arctic sea ice amplify summer temperatures, while atmospheric patterns like the NAO influence regional heat distribution. Closely matched probabilities around 1.30–1.45°C versus higher outcomes hinge on whether late-month cooling from strengthened trade winds or cloud feedbacks materializes, versus persistent heatwave conditions. Official monthly releases will clarify resolution thresholds against historical baselines.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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