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icon for 8月31日前美国麻疹病例?

8月31日前美国麻疹病例?

icon for 8月31日前美国麻疹病例?

8月31日前美国麻疹病例?

最新
2026-08-31
Polymarket

$1,043 交易量

Polymarket

2400+

$512 交易量

99%

2450+

$125 交易量

94%

2500+

$306 交易量

86%

2550+

$69 交易量

73%

2600+

$30 交易量

56%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.As of July 30, 2026, the CDC has confirmed 2,371 measles cases in the United States for the year, already exceeding the full 2025 total of 2,289 and marking the highest annual count since 1991. Roughly 94% of cases are outbreak-associated across 37 new clusters in 2026, concentrated in states including Utah, South Carolina, and Pennsylvania, with the vast majority occurring in unvaccinated or under-vaccinated individuals. Transmission persists through community spread in pockets of low MMR coverage, compounded by occasional imported cases. Weekly CDC surveillance updates through August will track incremental additions, while resolution hinges on official case counts reported by August 31 amid ongoing public health containment efforts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
交易量
$1,043
结束日期
2026-08-31
市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.As of July 30, 2026, the CDC has confirmed 2,371 measles cases in the United States for the year, already exceeding the full 2025 total of 2,289 and marking the highest annual count since 1991. Roughly 94% of cases are outbreak-associated across 37 new clusters in 2026, concentrated in states including Utah, South Carolina, and Pennsylvania, with the vast majority occurring in unvaccinated or under-vaccinated individuals. Transmission persists through community spread in pockets of low MMR coverage, compounded by occasional imported cases. Weekly CDC surveillance updates through August will track incremental additions, while resolution hinges on official case counts reported by August 31 amid ongoing public health containment efforts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
交易量
$1,043
结束日期
2026-08-31
市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

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"8月31日前美国麻疹病例?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2400+",概率为 99%,其次是"2450+",概率为 94%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 99¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 99%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"8月31日前美国麻疹病例?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jul 31, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"8月31日前美国麻疹病例?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"8月31日前美国麻疹病例?"的当前领先者是"2400+",概率为 99%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 99%。紧随其后的结果是"2450+",概率为 94%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

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