Current CDC Travel Health Notices show no active Level 4 advisories, with polio circulation flagged only at Level 2 across 32 countries and dengue at Level 1 in 16 others as of mid-May 2026. The recent hantavirus outbreak tied to an Antarctic cruise ship triggered CDC Emergency Operations Center activation at the lowest readiness tier and targeted clinician alerts, yet produced no evidence of sustained U.S. transmission or extreme-risk thresholds that would meet Level 4 criteria of unavoidable severe health hazards. Stable wastewater surveillance, genomic sequencing trends, and official risk assessments indicate no novel pathogen or uncontrolled epidemic is projected to escalate before year-end, supporting trader consensus that issuance remains unlikely absent major shifts in case trajectories or new model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$71,475 交易量
$71,475 交易量
是
$71,475 交易量
$71,475 交易量
A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Current CDC Travel Health Notices show no active Level 4 advisories, with polio circulation flagged only at Level 2 across 32 countries and dengue at Level 1 in 16 others as of mid-May 2026. The recent hantavirus outbreak tied to an Antarctic cruise ship triggered CDC Emergency Operations Center activation at the lowest readiness tier and targeted clinician alerts, yet produced no evidence of sustained U.S. transmission or extreme-risk thresholds that would meet Level 4 criteria of unavoidable severe health hazards. Stable wastewater surveillance, genomic sequencing trends, and official risk assessments indicate no novel pathogen or uncontrolled epidemic is projected to escalate before year-end, supporting trader consensus that issuance remains unlikely absent major shifts in case trajectories or new model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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