Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas livestock since early June 2026, including multiple bovine and caprine cases across Zavala, La Salle, Gillespie, and Tom Green counties, reflect northward migration from Mexico amid ongoing surveillance by USDA APHIS and state agencies. An isolated dog case in New Mexico’s Lea County signals potential cross-border movement, though no livestock infestations beyond Texas have been confirmed as of mid-June. Primary drivers include wound-site larval burrowing in newborns, warmer conditions aiding fly survival, and historical eradication via sterile insect technique now being scaled with millions of releases. Upcoming USDA case updates, expanded surveillance zones, and model consensus on spread risk will likely shape trader views on further geographic expansion.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
6月30日
42%
8月30日
52%
10月31日
41%
12月31日
50%
$677 交易量
6月30日
$354 交易量
42%
8月30日
$323 交易量
52%
10月31日
$0 交易量
41%
12月31日
$0 交易量
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas livestock since early June 2026, including multiple bovine and caprine cases across Zavala, La Salle, Gillespie, and Tom Green counties, reflect northward migration from Mexico amid ongoing surveillance by USDA APHIS and state agencies. An isolated dog case in New Mexico’s Lea County signals potential cross-border movement, though no livestock infestations beyond Texas have been confirmed as of mid-June. Primary drivers include wound-site larval burrowing in newborns, warmer conditions aiding fly survival, and historical eradication via sterile insect technique now being scaled with millions of releases. Upcoming USDA case updates, expanded surveillance zones, and model consensus on spread risk will likely shape trader views on further geographic expansion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
市场开放时间： Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
交易量
$677市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas livestock since early June 2026, including multiple bovine and caprine cases across Zavala, La Salle, Gillespie, and Tom Green counties, reflect northward migration from Mexico amid ongoing surveillance by USDA APHIS and state agencies. An isolated dog case in New Mexico’s Lea County signals potential cross-border movement, though no livestock infestations beyond Texas have been confirmed as of mid-June. Primary drivers include wound-site larval burrowing in newborns, warmer conditions aiding fly survival, and historical eradication via sterile insect technique now being scaled with millions of releases. Upcoming USDA case updates, expanded surveillance zones, and model consensus on spread risk will likely shape trader views on further geographic expansion.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$677市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent detections of New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) in Texas livestock since early June 2026, including multiple bovine and caprine cases across Zavala, La Salle, Gillespie, and Tom Green counties, reflect northward migration from Mexico amid ongoing surveillance by USDA APHIS and state agencies. An isolated dog case in New Mexico’s Lea County signals potential cross-border movement, though no livestock infestations beyond Texas have been confirmed as of mid-June. Primary drivers include wound-site larval burrowing in newborns, warmer conditions aiding fly survival, and historical eradication via sterile insect technique now being scaled with millions of releases. Upcoming USDA case updates, expanded surveillance zones, and model consensus on spread risk will likely shape trader views on further geographic expansion.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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