South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, with its strong Republican partisan voting index around R+15 and history of Trump landslides, anchors trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 88.5% for the House election winner. Incumbent Rep. William Timmons filed for re-election in late March 2026, facing GOP primary challengers David Atchley and Robert E. Lee ahead of the June 9 primaries and potential runoff on June 23. The Democratic field, including candidates like Courtney McClain and Jessica Ethridge, lacks the resources or name recognition to overcome the district's entrenched GOP base in Upstate areas like Greenville and Spartanburg. No recent polling or scandals have shifted dynamics, though a contentious primary or national wave could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,304 交易量
$11,304 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
89%
民主党
11%
$11,304 交易量
$11,304 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$9,043 交易量
89%
民主党
$2,261 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, with its strong Republican partisan voting index around R+15 and history of Trump landslides, anchors trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 88.5% for the House election winner. Incumbent Rep. William Timmons filed for re-election in late March 2026, facing GOP primary challengers David Atchley and Robert E. Lee ahead of the June 9 primaries and potential runoff on June 23. The Democratic field, including candidates like Courtney McClain and Jessica Ethridge, lacks the resources or name recognition to overcome the district's entrenched GOP base in Upstate areas like Greenville and Spartanburg. No recent polling or scandals have shifted dynamics, though a contentious primary or national wave could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$11,304结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, with its strong Republican partisan voting index around R+15 and history of Trump landslides, anchors trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 88.5% for the House election winner. Incumbent Rep. William Timmons filed for re-election in late March 2026, facing GOP primary challengers David Atchley and Robert E. Lee ahead of the June 9 primaries and potential runoff on June 23. The Democratic field, including candidates like Courtney McClain and Jessica Ethridge, lacks the resources or name recognition to overcome the district's entrenched GOP base in Upstate areas like Greenville and Spartanburg. No recent polling or scandals have shifted dynamics, though a contentious primary or national wave could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,304结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, with its strong Republican partisan voting index around R+15 and history of Trump landslides, anchors trader consensus heavily favoring the Republican Party at 88.5% for the House election winner. Incumbent Rep. William Timmons filed for re-election in late March 2026, facing GOP primary challengers David Atchley and Robert E. Lee ahead of the June 9 primaries and potential runoff on June 23. The Democratic field, including candidates like Courtney McClain and Jessica Ethridge, lacks the resources or name recognition to overcome the district's entrenched GOP base in Upstate areas like Greenville and Spartanburg. No recent polling or scandals have shifted dynamics, though a contentious primary or national wave could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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