Persistent delays since the 2021 announcement have shaped trader consensus that the DOGE-1 CubeSat is unlikely to reach lunar orbit before 2027. Originally slated for a Q1 2022 Falcon 9 rideshare, the mission has slipped repeatedly due to secondary-payload scheduling constraints and the absence of a firm slot on SpaceX’s manifest. Recent comments from Elon Musk referencing a possible 2027 window, coupled with ongoing technical integration work for the 40-kilogram spacecraft, reinforce skepticism that 2026 targets will be met. While a confirmed acceleration of the Intuitive Machines lunar lander manifest or resolution of hardware issues could still enable a late-2026 liftoff, current evidence points to continued slippage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Doge-1月球任务会在2027年之前启动吗？
Doge-1月球任务会在2027年之前启动吗？
是
$800,237 交易量
$800,237 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$800,237 交易量
$800,237 交易量
2026-12-31
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.Persistent delays since the 2021 announcement have shaped trader consensus that the DOGE-1 CubeSat is unlikely to reach lunar orbit before 2027. Originally slated for a Q1 2022 Falcon 9 rideshare, the mission has slipped repeatedly due to secondary-payload scheduling constraints and the absence of a firm slot on SpaceX’s manifest. Recent comments from Elon Musk referencing a possible 2027 window, coupled with ongoing technical integration work for the 40-kilogram spacecraft, reinforce skepticism that 2026 targets will be met. While a confirmed acceleration of the Intuitive Machines lunar lander manifest or resolution of hardware issues could still enable a late-2026 liftoff, current evidence points to continued slippage.
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
市场开放时间： Jan 7, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
交易量
$800,237结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.Persistent delays since the 2021 announcement have shaped trader consensus that the DOGE-1 CubeSat is unlikely to reach lunar orbit before 2027. Originally slated for a Q1 2022 Falcon 9 rideshare, the mission has slipped repeatedly due to secondary-payload scheduling constraints and the absence of a firm slot on SpaceX’s manifest. Recent comments from Elon Musk referencing a possible 2027 window, coupled with ongoing technical integration work for the 40-kilogram spacecraft, reinforce skepticism that 2026 targets will be met. While a confirmed acceleration of the Intuitive Machines lunar lander manifest or resolution of hardware issues could still enable a late-2026 liftoff, current evidence points to continued slippage.
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
交易量
$800,237结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent delays since the 2021 announcement have shaped trader consensus that the DOGE-1 CubeSat is unlikely to reach lunar orbit before 2027. Originally slated for a Q1 2022 Falcon 9 rideshare, the mission has slipped repeatedly due to secondary-payload scheduling constraints and the absence of a firm slot on SpaceX’s manifest. Recent comments from Elon Musk referencing a possible 2027 window, coupled with ongoing technical integration work for the 40-kilogram spacecraft, reinforce skepticism that 2026 targets will be met. While a confirmed acceleration of the Intuitive Machines lunar lander manifest or resolution of hardware issues could still enable a late-2026 liftoff, current evidence points to continued slippage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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