Recent forecast models from agencies such as the Met Office indicate Shenzhen highs near 32–34°C on August 15 amid a subtropical monsoon pattern, with scattered thunderstorms and overcast skies expected to moderate peaks through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. High humidity above 75% and typical August convective activity further constrain extremes, aligning with the market's tight spread where 32°C leads at 30% implied probability. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum, as small shifts in storm timing or cloud cover can differentiate outcomes in this narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日深圳气温最高？
8月15日深圳气温最高？
32°C 30%
33°C 29%
31°C 15%
34°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
15%
32°C
30%
33°C
29%
34°C
12%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 30%
33°C 29%
31°C 15%
34°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
27°C or below
$819 交易量
<1%
28°C
$649 交易量
<1%
29°C
$158 交易量
3%
30°C
$165 交易量
5%
31°C
$79 交易量
15%
32°C
$198 交易量
30%
33°C
$2,229 交易量
29%
34°C
$217 交易量
12%
35°C
$621 交易量
5%
36°C
$648 交易量
1%
37°C or higher
$925 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies such as the Met Office indicate Shenzhen highs near 32–34°C on August 15 amid a subtropical monsoon pattern, with scattered thunderstorms and overcast skies expected to moderate peaks through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. High humidity above 75% and typical August convective activity further constrain extremes, aligning with the market's tight spread where 32°C leads at 30% implied probability. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum, as small shifts in storm timing or cloud cover can differentiate outcomes in this narrow range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$6,708结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies such as the Met Office indicate Shenzhen highs near 32–34°C on August 15 amid a subtropical monsoon pattern, with scattered thunderstorms and overcast skies expected to moderate peaks through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. High humidity above 75% and typical August convective activity further constrain extremes, aligning with the market's tight spread where 32°C leads at 30% implied probability. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum, as small shifts in storm timing or cloud cover can differentiate outcomes in this narrow range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,708结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecast models from agencies such as the Met Office indicate Shenzhen highs near 32–34°C on August 15 amid a subtropical monsoon pattern, with scattered thunderstorms and overcast skies expected to moderate peaks through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling. High humidity above 75% and typical August convective activity further constrain extremes, aligning with the market's tight spread where 32°C leads at 30% implied probability. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum, as small shifts in storm timing or cloud cover can differentiate outcomes in this narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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