Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daily maximum near 31°C in Metro Manila on August 15 amid southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions that deliver persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity. These factors typically suppress peak readings to the 29–33°C range during peak monsoon months, aligning with historical August averages around 31°C. Traders have converged on 31°C at near-certainty because real-time model consensus and recent observations show no strong signals for significant deviation. Clearer skies or a temporary monsoon break could push readings higher, while heavier localized rain might cap the high below the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely before final station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日马尼拉气温最高？
8月15日马尼拉气温最高？
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$29,070 交易量
$29,070 交易量
2026-08-15
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或更高
<1%
31°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$29,070 交易量
$29,070 交易量
2026-08-15
25°C或以下
$487 交易量
<1%
26°C
$332 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,427 交易量
<1%
28°C
$3,367 交易量
<1%
29°C
$3,130 交易量
<1%
30°C
$4,436 交易量
<1%
31°C
$5,544 交易量
100%
32°C
$5,364 交易量
<1%
33°C
$2,751 交易量
<1%
34°C
$1,648 交易量
<1%
35°C或更高
$584 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daily maximum near 31°C in Metro Manila on August 15 amid southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions that deliver persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity. These factors typically suppress peak readings to the 29–33°C range during peak monsoon months, aligning with historical August averages around 31°C. Traders have converged on 31°C at near-certainty because real-time model consensus and recent observations show no strong signals for significant deviation. Clearer skies or a temporary monsoon break could push readings higher, while heavier localized rain might cap the high below the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely before final station measurements.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$29,070结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daily maximum near 31°C in Metro Manila on August 15 amid southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions that deliver persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity. These factors typically suppress peak readings to the 29–33°C range during peak monsoon months, aligning with historical August averages around 31°C. Traders have converged on 31°C at near-certainty because real-time model consensus and recent observations show no strong signals for significant deviation. Clearer skies or a temporary monsoon break could push readings higher, while heavier localized rain might cap the high below the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely before final station measurements.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29,070结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) project a daily maximum near 31°C in Metro Manila on August 15 amid southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions that deliver persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate humidity. These factors typically suppress peak readings to the 29–33°C range during peak monsoon months, aligning with historical August averages around 31°C. Traders have converged on 31°C at near-certainty because real-time model consensus and recent observations show no strong signals for significant deviation. Clearer skies or a temporary monsoon break could push readings higher, while heavier localized rain might cap the high below the threshold, though such shifts appear unlikely before final station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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