Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate sunny skies with light easterly winds and a daytime high near 26°C for Toronto on August 15, aligning with the market's leading 25°C (48%) and 26°C (30%) outcomes. Mid-August climatology shows average highs of 24–25°C, and recent stable high-pressure patterns have prevented significant deviations, keeping probabilities for 24°C or 27°C lower. Model consensus remains tight with minimal spread, though afternoon boundary-layer mixing or slight timing shifts in peak insolation could nudge readings by 1°C. Updated observations through midday will refine these market-implied odds ahead of official daily maximum reporting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日多伦多气温最高？
8月15日多伦多气温最高？
25°C 50%
26°C 29%
24°C 12%
27°C 8%
最新
$15,709 交易量
最新
$15,709 交易量
2026-08-15
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
12%
25°C
50%
26°C
29%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 50%
26°C 29%
24°C 12%
27°C 8%
最新
$15,709 交易量
最新
$15,709 交易量
2026-08-15
19°C or below
$107 交易量
<1%
20°C
$99 交易量
<1%
21°C
$821 交易量
<1%
22°C
$794 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,436 交易量
3%
24°C
$2,088 交易量
12%
25°C
$1,788 交易量
50%
26°C
$5,399 交易量
29%
27°C
$1,988 交易量
8%
28°C
$969 交易量
2%
29°C or higher
$221 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate sunny skies with light easterly winds and a daytime high near 26°C for Toronto on August 15, aligning with the market's leading 25°C (48%) and 26°C (30%) outcomes. Mid-August climatology shows average highs of 24–25°C, and recent stable high-pressure patterns have prevented significant deviations, keeping probabilities for 24°C or 27°C lower. Model consensus remains tight with minimal spread, though afternoon boundary-layer mixing or slight timing shifts in peak insolation could nudge readings by 1°C. Updated observations through midday will refine these market-implied odds ahead of official daily maximum reporting.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$15,709结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate sunny skies with light easterly winds and a daytime high near 26°C for Toronto on August 15, aligning with the market's leading 25°C (48%) and 26°C (30%) outcomes. Mid-August climatology shows average highs of 24–25°C, and recent stable high-pressure patterns have prevented significant deviations, keeping probabilities for 24°C or 27°C lower. Model consensus remains tight with minimal spread, though afternoon boundary-layer mixing or slight timing shifts in peak insolation could nudge readings by 1°C. Updated observations through midday will refine these market-implied odds ahead of official daily maximum reporting.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,709结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETCurrent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate sunny skies with light easterly winds and a daytime high near 26°C for Toronto on August 15, aligning with the market's leading 25°C (48%) and 26°C (30%) outcomes. Mid-August climatology shows average highs of 24–25°C, and recent stable high-pressure patterns have prevented significant deviations, keeping probabilities for 24°C or 27°C lower. Model consensus remains tight with minimal spread, though afternoon boundary-layer mixing or slight timing shifts in peak insolation could nudge readings by 1°C. Updated observations through midday will refine these market-implied odds ahead of official daily maximum reporting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题