Latest Environment Canada guidance projects a high near 25°C in Toronto on August 14 under a mix of sun and cloud, with normal maxima around 26°C. Numerical models show modest uncertainty in afternoon temperatures driven by variable cloud cover and weak steering flow, keeping the distribution centered on 27°C (48.5%) and 28°C (28.5%) as trader-implied outcomes. These probabilities reflect the narrow range between typical mid-August climatology and the limited upside potential if ridging strengthens overnight. Subsequent model runs and updated observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日多伦多气温最高?
27°C 38%
28°C 29%
26°C 11%
29°C 9%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
4%
26°C
11%
27°C
38%
28°C
29%
29°C
9%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
28°C 29%
26°C 11%
29°C 9%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
4%
26°C
11%
27°C
38%
28°C
29%
29°C
9%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest Environment Canada guidance projects a high near 25°C in Toronto on August 14 under a mix of sun and cloud, with normal maxima around 26°C. Numerical models show modest uncertainty in afternoon temperatures driven by variable cloud cover and weak steering flow, keeping the distribution centered on 27°C (48.5%) and 28°C (28.5%) as trader-implied outcomes. These probabilities reflect the narrow range between typical mid-August climatology and the limited upside potential if ridging strengthens overnight. Subsequent model runs and updated observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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