Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Austin highs near 99–102°F on August 14 amid persistent hot, dry summer conditions across South-Central Texas, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate peak readings. This consensus supports the market's emphasis on the 98–99°F bin as the leading outcome, reflecting typical August climatology where the average high reaches 99°F and recent daily maxima have clustered in the upper 90s to low 100s. Model agreement on steering patterns and limited moisture reduces the likelihood of cooler or extreme outliers, though small revisions in afternoon heating or boundary-layer moisture could still shift the official Austin Bergstrom observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日奥斯汀的最高温度？
8月14日奥斯汀的最高温度？
98-99°F 49%
96-97°F 26%
100-101°F 19%
94-95°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
26%
98-99°F
49%
100-101°F
19%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106华氏度或更高
<1%
98-99°F 49%
96-97°F 26%
100-101°F 19%
94-95°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
87°F or below
$192 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$222 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$609 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$492 交易量
2%
94-95°F
$1,180 交易量
7%
96-97°F
$705 交易量
26%
98-99°F
$2,279 交易量
49%
100-101°F
$517 交易量
19%
102-103°F
$308 交易量
2%
104-105°F
$439 交易量
1%
106华氏度或更高
$722 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Austin highs near 99–102°F on August 14 amid persistent hot, dry summer conditions across South-Central Texas, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate peak readings. This consensus supports the market's emphasis on the 98–99°F bin as the leading outcome, reflecting typical August climatology where the average high reaches 99°F and recent daily maxima have clustered in the upper 90s to low 100s. Model agreement on steering patterns and limited moisture reduces the likelihood of cooler or extreme outliers, though small revisions in afternoon heating or boundary-layer moisture could still shift the official Austin Bergstrom observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$7,665结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Austin highs near 99–102°F on August 14 amid persistent hot, dry summer conditions across South-Central Texas, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate peak readings. This consensus supports the market's emphasis on the 98–99°F bin as the leading outcome, reflecting typical August climatology where the average high reaches 99°F and recent daily maxima have clustered in the upper 90s to low 100s. Model agreement on steering patterns and limited moisture reduces the likelihood of cooler or extreme outliers, though small revisions in afternoon heating or boundary-layer moisture could still shift the official Austin Bergstrom observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,665结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate Austin highs near 99–102°F on August 14 amid persistent hot, dry summer conditions across South-Central Texas, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate peak readings. This consensus supports the market's emphasis on the 98–99°F bin as the leading outcome, reflecting typical August climatology where the average high reaches 99°F and recent daily maxima have clustered in the upper 90s to low 100s. Model agreement on steering patterns and limited moisture reduces the likelihood of cooler or extreme outliers, though small revisions in afternoon heating or boundary-layer moisture could still shift the official Austin Bergstrom observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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