Current Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a mild overnight minimum near 20 °C across London on 15 August, driven by a warm southerly flow, limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, and dew points that suppress radiative losses. This aligns with the market’s strong 93.5 % consensus on 20 °C, reflecting traders’ assessment of official observations and the low likelihood of sharp drops given recent stable high pressure. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted influx of cooler northerly air or clearer skies that enhance radiational cooling below 19 °C, though model consensus currently assigns low probability to such shifts before the daily minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日伦敦最低气温？
8月15日伦敦最低气温？
20°C 94%
19°C 5%
18°C <1%
14°C或更低 <1%
$16,841 交易量
$16,841 交易量
2026-08-15
14°C或更低
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
94%
21°C
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
20°C 94%
19°C 5%
18°C <1%
14°C或更低 <1%
$16,841 交易量
$16,841 交易量
2026-08-15
14°C或更低
$1,032 交易量
<1%
15°C
$572 交易量
<1%
16°C
$464 交易量
<1%
17°C
$831 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,592 交易量
1%
19°C
$3,137 交易量
5%
20°C
$5,203 交易量
94%
21°C
$2,499 交易量
<1%
22℃
$910 交易量
<1%
23°C
$335 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$265 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a mild overnight minimum near 20 °C across London on 15 August, driven by a warm southerly flow, limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, and dew points that suppress radiative losses. This aligns with the market’s strong 93.5 % consensus on 20 °C, reflecting traders’ assessment of official observations and the low likelihood of sharp drops given recent stable high pressure. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted influx of cooler northerly air or clearer skies that enhance radiational cooling below 19 °C, though model consensus currently assigns low probability to such shifts before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
交易量
$16,841结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a mild overnight minimum near 20 °C across London on 15 August, driven by a warm southerly flow, limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, and dew points that suppress radiative losses. This aligns with the market’s strong 93.5 % consensus on 20 °C, reflecting traders’ assessment of official observations and the low likelihood of sharp drops given recent stable high pressure. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted influx of cooler northerly air or clearer skies that enhance radiational cooling below 19 °C, though model consensus currently assigns low probability to such shifts before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,841结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETCurrent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a mild overnight minimum near 20 °C across London on 15 August, driven by a warm southerly flow, limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies, and dew points that suppress radiative losses. This aligns with the market’s strong 93.5 % consensus on 20 °C, reflecting traders’ assessment of official observations and the low likelihood of sharp drops given recent stable high pressure. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted influx of cooler northerly air or clearer skies that enhance radiational cooling below 19 °C, though model consensus currently assigns low probability to such shifts before the daily minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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