Recent forecasts from global models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 17 will likely settle near 25–26°C, reflecting the market's tight clustering on those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity levels limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures aligned with seasonal norms for mid-August. Cloud cover and scattered showers expected through the period could further moderate drops by trapping heat, while any clearer skies would favor slightly lower readings closer to 25°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture ahead of the 24-hour window, directly influencing trader reassessments of the narrow spread between leading resolutions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日上海最低气温?
26°C 44%
25°C 36%
27°C 12%
23°C 8%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
6%
23°C
8%
24°C
5%
25°C
36%
26°C
44%
27°C
12%
28°C
4%
29°C或更高
1%
26°C 44%
25°C 36%
27°C 12%
23°C 8%
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
6%
23°C
8%
24°C
5%
25°C
36%
26°C
44%
27°C
12%
28°C
4%
29°C或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from global models indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 17 will likely settle near 25–26°C, reflecting the market's tight clustering on those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity levels limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures aligned with seasonal norms for mid-August. Cloud cover and scattered showers expected through the period could further moderate drops by trapping heat, while any clearer skies would favor slightly lower readings closer to 25°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture ahead of the 24-hour window, directly influencing trader reassessments of the narrow spread between leading resolutions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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