Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai will experience typical mid-August conditions on August 16, with overnight lows stabilizing near 26°C amid high humidity and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological baselines for the region, where average August minima hover between 25–27°C under prevailing southerly flow and subtropical moisture. Trader consensus reflects the strong agreement across ensemble predictions, though a sharper-than-expected frontal passage or prolonged clear skies could allow temperatures to dip toward 24°C by enhancing nocturnal heat loss. Updated model runs and official guidance from monitoring agencies will provide the final resolution data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日上海最低气温?
26°C 94%
25°C 5%
24°C 2%
23°C <1%
$13,304 交易量
$13,304 交易量
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
94%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
26°C 94%
25°C 5%
24°C 2%
23°C <1%
$13,304 交易量
$13,304 交易量
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
94%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai will experience typical mid-August conditions on August 16, with overnight lows stabilizing near 26°C amid high humidity and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological baselines for the region, where average August minima hover between 25–27°C under prevailing southerly flow and subtropical moisture. Trader consensus reflects the strong agreement across ensemble predictions, though a sharper-than-expected frontal passage or prolonged clear skies could allow temperatures to dip toward 24°C by enhancing nocturnal heat loss. Updated model runs and official guidance from monitoring agencies will provide the final resolution data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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