Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Ankara's August 15 high will likely reach 27–28°C under sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward those exact outcomes. Temperatures have trended downward from 31–33°C earlier in the week as seasonal cooling accelerates and high pressure promotes clear skies without significant heat advection. Model consensus shows limited variability in the 26–29°C range, with negligible risk of extremes given the absence of warm southerly flow or cloud cover that could alter daytime maxima. This setup explains traders' consensus around the 27°C bin while leaving room for minor forecast revisions from updated model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日安卡拉的最高温度？
8月15日安卡拉的最高温度？
27°C 48%
26°C 29%
28°C 18%
29°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
29%
27°C
48%
28°C
18%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 48%
26°C 29%
28°C 18%
29°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-15
23°C or below
$74 交易量
1%
24°C
$98 交易量
1%
25°C
$43 交易量
3%
26°C
$211 交易量
29%
27°C
$207 交易量
48%
28°C
$121 交易量
18%
29°C
$57 交易量
4%
30°C
$120 交易量
2%
31°C
$259 交易量
1%
32°C
$58 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$232 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Ankara's August 15 high will likely reach 27–28°C under sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward those exact outcomes. Temperatures have trended downward from 31–33°C earlier in the week as seasonal cooling accelerates and high pressure promotes clear skies without significant heat advection. Model consensus shows limited variability in the 26–29°C range, with negligible risk of extremes given the absence of warm southerly flow or cloud cover that could alter daytime maxima. This setup explains traders' consensus around the 27°C bin while leaving room for minor forecast revisions from updated model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,480结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Ankara's August 15 high will likely reach 27–28°C under sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward those exact outcomes. Temperatures have trended downward from 31–33°C earlier in the week as seasonal cooling accelerates and high pressure promotes clear skies without significant heat advection. Model consensus shows limited variability in the 26–29°C range, with negligible risk of extremes given the absence of warm southerly flow or cloud cover that could alter daytime maxima. This setup explains traders' consensus around the 27°C bin while leaving room for minor forecast revisions from updated model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,480结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Ankara's August 15 high will likely reach 27–28°C under sunny conditions with light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward those exact outcomes. Temperatures have trended downward from 31–33°C earlier in the week as seasonal cooling accelerates and high pressure promotes clear skies without significant heat advection. Model consensus shows limited variability in the 26–29°C range, with negligible risk of extremes given the absence of warm southerly flow or cloud cover that could alter daytime maxima. This setup explains traders' consensus around the 27°C bin while leaving room for minor forecast revisions from updated model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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