Recent forecast models from sources including Trip.com and timeanddate.com project daytime highs of 35–37°C in Guangzhou on August 13, with thunderstorms likely to limit peak heating through cloud cover and precipitation. This aligns with the market’s leading 36°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability, as subtropical summer conditions—high humidity, weak steering winds, and residual moisture from Typhoon Dolphin—favor modest moderation rather than extreme heat. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context, while model consensus on scattered convection supports the tight clustering around 35–37°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for verification against typical diurnal variability and potential forecast revisions before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日广州气温最高？
8月13日广州气温最高？
36°C 44%
37°C 25%
35°C 20%
34°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
8%
35°C
20%
36°C
44%
37°C
25%
38°C
4%
39°C或更高
2%
36°C 44%
37°C 25%
35°C 20%
34°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-13
29°C或以下
$464 交易量
<1%
30°C
$221 交易量
<1%
31°C
$210 交易量
<1%
32°C
$561 交易量
1%
33°C
$345 交易量
2%
34°C
$320 交易量
8%
35°C
$199 交易量
20%
36°C
$530 交易量
44%
37°C
$778 交易量
25%
38°C
$385 交易量
4%
39°C或更高
$217 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including Trip.com and timeanddate.com project daytime highs of 35–37°C in Guangzhou on August 13, with thunderstorms likely to limit peak heating through cloud cover and precipitation. This aligns with the market’s leading 36°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability, as subtropical summer conditions—high humidity, weak steering winds, and residual moisture from Typhoon Dolphin—favor modest moderation rather than extreme heat. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context, while model consensus on scattered convection supports the tight clustering around 35–37°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for verification against typical diurnal variability and potential forecast revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$4,231结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including Trip.com and timeanddate.com project daytime highs of 35–37°C in Guangzhou on August 13, with thunderstorms likely to limit peak heating through cloud cover and precipitation. This aligns with the market’s leading 36°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability, as subtropical summer conditions—high humidity, weak steering winds, and residual moisture from Typhoon Dolphin—favor modest moderation rather than extreme heat. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context, while model consensus on scattered convection supports the tight clustering around 35–37°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for verification against typical diurnal variability and potential forecast revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,231结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources including Trip.com and timeanddate.com project daytime highs of 35–37°C in Guangzhou on August 13, with thunderstorms likely to limit peak heating through cloud cover and precipitation. This aligns with the market’s leading 36°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability, as subtropical summer conditions—high humidity, weak steering winds, and residual moisture from Typhoon Dolphin—favor modest moderation rather than extreme heat. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context, while model consensus on scattered convection supports the tight clustering around 35–37°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for verification against typical diurnal variability and potential forecast revisions before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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