Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office indicates a building high-pressure system bringing clearer skies and gradual warming across southeast England, positioning London for a daytime maximum near 25°C on August 11. This aligns with current trader-implied odds favoring 25°C (46.5%) over nearby outcomes like 26°C or 24°C, reflecting limited model spread and typical August variability around the long-term average high of 22–24°C. A preceding warm spell with peaks above 28°C earlier in the week supports the elevated probabilities, though any shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover could moderate the peak. Updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日伦敦气温最高？
8月11日伦敦气温最高？
25°C 47%
26°C 25%
24°C 19%
27°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
19%
25°C
47%
26°C
25%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C或更高
<1%
25°C 47%
26°C 25%
24°C 19%
27°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
20°C或以下
$28 交易量
<1%
21°C
$43 交易量
1%
22°C
$109 交易量
1%
23°C
$165 交易量
2%
24°C
$187 交易量
19%
25°C
$396 交易量
47%
26°C
$584 交易量
25%
27°C
$223 交易量
9%
28°C
$63 交易量
2%
29°C
$45 交易量
1%
30°C或更高
$40 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office indicates a building high-pressure system bringing clearer skies and gradual warming across southeast England, positioning London for a daytime maximum near 25°C on August 11. This aligns with current trader-implied odds favoring 25°C (46.5%) over nearby outcomes like 26°C or 24°C, reflecting limited model spread and typical August variability around the long-term average high of 22–24°C. A preceding warm spell with peaks above 28°C earlier in the week supports the elevated probabilities, though any shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover could moderate the peak. Updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,883结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office indicates a building high-pressure system bringing clearer skies and gradual warming across southeast England, positioning London for a daytime maximum near 25°C on August 11. This aligns with current trader-implied odds favoring 25°C (46.5%) over nearby outcomes like 26°C or 24°C, reflecting limited model spread and typical August variability around the long-term average high of 22–24°C. A preceding warm spell with peaks above 28°C earlier in the week supports the elevated probabilities, though any shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover could moderate the peak. Updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,883结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office indicates a building high-pressure system bringing clearer skies and gradual warming across southeast England, positioning London for a daytime maximum near 25°C on August 11. This aligns with current trader-implied odds favoring 25°C (46.5%) over nearby outcomes like 26°C or 24°C, reflecting limited model spread and typical August variability around the long-term average high of 22–24°C. A preceding warm spell with peaks above 28°C earlier in the week supports the elevated probabilities, though any shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover could moderate the peak. Updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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