Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to partly cloudy skies with a sea-breeze circulation and scattered afternoon thunderstorms, supporting a peak temperature centered in the low-to-mid 90s on August 13. This aligns with August climatology, where the long-term average high reaches 89–90 °F amid high humidity and typical steering patterns that limit extreme heat. Model consensus shows minimal deviation from these norms, with no tropical systems or unusual synoptic setups expected to alter the thermal profile. The 92–93 °F bin therefore holds the strongest market-implied odds, while warmer or cooler brackets reflect uncertainty in exact convective timing and moisture advection. Updated short-range model runs and official NWS forecasts issued tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日迈阿密气温最高?
92-93°F 54%
94-95°F 18%
90-91°F 9%
96-97°F 4%
81华氏度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
54%
94-95°F
24%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
2%
100华氏度或更高
1%
92-93°F 54%
94-95°F 18%
90-91°F 9%
96-97°F 4%
81华氏度或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
54%
94-95°F
24%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
2%
100华氏度或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to partly cloudy skies with a sea-breeze circulation and scattered afternoon thunderstorms, supporting a peak temperature centered in the low-to-mid 90s on August 13. This aligns with August climatology, where the long-term average high reaches 89–90 °F amid high humidity and typical steering patterns that limit extreme heat. Model consensus shows minimal deviation from these norms, with no tropical systems or unusual synoptic setups expected to alter the thermal profile. The 92–93 °F bin therefore holds the strongest market-implied odds, while warmer or cooler brackets reflect uncertainty in exact convective timing and moisture advection. Updated short-range model runs and official NWS forecasts issued tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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