Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Ankara will reach a daily maximum near 31°C on August 13 under sunny skies, light northeasterly winds around 10-18 km/h, and typical August humidity levels near 40%. This positions 31°C as the narrow market leader at 49% implied probability, just ahead of 30°C, reflecting modest model uncertainty in peak heating timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical climatology places the August average high near 30-32°C, providing context for why traders assign low odds below 29°C or above 33°C absent any incoming cold front or heat advection. Updated model runs from the coming hours will likely refine the precise threshold before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日安卡拉的最高温度?
31°C 49%
30°C 41%
32°C 7%
29°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
41%
31°C
49%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 49%
30°C 41%
32°C 7%
29°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
41%
31°C
49%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Ankara will reach a daily maximum near 31°C on August 13 under sunny skies, light northeasterly winds around 10-18 km/h, and typical August humidity levels near 40%. This positions 31°C as the narrow market leader at 49% implied probability, just ahead of 30°C, reflecting modest model uncertainty in peak heating timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical climatology places the August average high near 30-32°C, providing context for why traders assign low odds below 29°C or above 33°C absent any incoming cold front or heat advection. Updated model runs from the coming hours will likely refine the precise threshold before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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