Recent forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and international centers indicate Beijing's August 15 maximum will likely reach 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes. Late-summer climatology features a seasonal decline from July peaks, moderated by higher humidity, increased cloud cover, and potential rainfall that limits daytime heating. Current observations near 31°C on August 14 and consistent model runs reinforce this narrow range, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect limited intensification potential absent a strong high-pressure ridge. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will further refine these trader-assessed odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日北京气温最高？
8月15日北京气温最高？
32°C 44%
31°C 34%
33°C 13%
30°C 9%
最新
$11,312 交易量
最新
$11,312 交易量
2026-08-15
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
34%
32°C
44%
33°C
13%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 44%
31°C 34%
33°C 13%
30°C 9%
最新
$11,312 交易量
最新
$11,312 交易量
2026-08-15
27°C or below
$1,846 交易量
<1%
28°C
$603 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,021 交易量
2%
30°C
$1,445 交易量
9%
31°C
$1,137 交易量
34%
32°C
$1,674 交易量
44%
33°C
$1,623 交易量
13%
34°C
$925 交易量
3%
35°C
$441 交易量
<1%
36°C
$329 交易量
<1%
37°C or higher
$267 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and international centers indicate Beijing's August 15 maximum will likely reach 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes. Late-summer climatology features a seasonal decline from July peaks, moderated by higher humidity, increased cloud cover, and potential rainfall that limits daytime heating. Current observations near 31°C on August 14 and consistent model runs reinforce this narrow range, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect limited intensification potential absent a strong high-pressure ridge. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will further refine these trader-assessed odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$11,312结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and international centers indicate Beijing's August 15 maximum will likely reach 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes. Late-summer climatology features a seasonal decline from July peaks, moderated by higher humidity, increased cloud cover, and potential rainfall that limits daytime heating. Current observations near 31°C on August 14 and consistent model runs reinforce this narrow range, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect limited intensification potential absent a strong high-pressure ridge. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will further refine these trader-assessed odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,312结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and international centers indicate Beijing's August 15 maximum will likely reach 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes. Late-summer climatology features a seasonal decline from July peaks, moderated by higher humidity, increased cloud cover, and potential rainfall that limits daytime heating. Current observations near 31°C on August 14 and consistent model runs reinforce this narrow range, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect limited intensification potential absent a strong high-pressure ridge. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will further refine these trader-assessed odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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