Recent forecasts for Beijing point to daytime highs near 30–31°C on August 16, aligning with trader emphasis on those bins as the most likely outcomes. Seasonal norms for mid-August show average maxima around 30–31°C with high humidity and frequent cloud cover or showers that limit solar heating and convective mixing. Model runs highlight modest variability from light rain or increased cloudiness, which could cap peaks at 30°C or allow brief clearing to reach 32°C, while the low odds for 33°C+ reflect the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or downslope warming. Updated short-range guidance from regional agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日北京气温最高？
8月16日北京气温最高？
31°C 40%
30°C 28%
32°C 14%
29°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
28%
31°C
40%
32°C
14%
33°C or higher
6%
31°C 40%
30°C 28%
32°C 14%
29°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
23°C or below
$387 交易量
<1%
24°C
$198 交易量
<1%
25°C
$243 交易量
<1%
26°C
$916 交易量
1%
27°C
$133 交易量
2%
28°C
$64 交易量
4%
29°C
$317 交易量
11%
30°C
$512 交易量
28%
31°C
$2,420 交易量
40%
32°C
$194 交易量
14%
33°C or higher
$423 交易量
6%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Beijing point to daytime highs near 30–31°C on August 16, aligning with trader emphasis on those bins as the most likely outcomes. Seasonal norms for mid-August show average maxima around 30–31°C with high humidity and frequent cloud cover or showers that limit solar heating and convective mixing. Model runs highlight modest variability from light rain or increased cloudiness, which could cap peaks at 30°C or allow brief clearing to reach 32°C, while the low odds for 33°C+ reflect the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or downslope warming. Updated short-range guidance from regional agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$5,808结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Beijing point to daytime highs near 30–31°C on August 16, aligning with trader emphasis on those bins as the most likely outcomes. Seasonal norms for mid-August show average maxima around 30–31°C with high humidity and frequent cloud cover or showers that limit solar heating and convective mixing. Model runs highlight modest variability from light rain or increased cloudiness, which could cap peaks at 30°C or allow brief clearing to reach 32°C, while the low odds for 33°C+ reflect the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or downslope warming. Updated short-range guidance from regional agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,808结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts for Beijing point to daytime highs near 30–31°C on August 16, aligning with trader emphasis on those bins as the most likely outcomes. Seasonal norms for mid-August show average maxima around 30–31°C with high humidity and frequent cloud cover or showers that limit solar heating and convective mixing. Model runs highlight modest variability from light rain or increased cloudiness, which could cap peaks at 30°C or allow brief clearing to reach 32°C, while the low odds for 33°C+ reflect the absence of strong high-pressure ridging or downslope warming. Updated short-range guidance from regional agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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