Forecast models from agencies and services such as timeanddate.com and AccuWeather indicate a daily maximum of 30–31°C for Shanghai on August 16, 2026, under overcast skies with scattered showers and moderate easterly flow. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit solar heating, while high humidity near 80–90% and regional atmospheric patterns sustain this range after earlier August peaks near 36°C. Ensemble guidance shows low uncertainty around these thresholds, with only modest upside risk from any unexpected clearing. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds centers on 30°C and 31°C because official surface observations will resolve the outcome, and current data favor values near the long-term August average high of approximately 31°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日上海气温最高？
8月16日上海气温最高？
30°C 51%
31°C 30%
29°C 13%
32°C 5%
最新
$28,130 交易量
最新
$28,130 交易量
2026-08-16
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
51%
31°C
30%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 51%
31°C 30%
29°C 13%
32°C 5%
最新
$28,130 交易量
最新
$28,130 交易量
2026-08-16
25°C or below
$324 交易量
<1%
26°C
$293 交易量
<1%
27°C
$2,692 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,222 交易量
4%
29°C
$5,241 交易量
13%
30°C
$4,022 交易量
51%
31°C
$7,141 交易量
30%
32°C
$3,339 交易量
5%
33°C
$1,569 交易量
1%
34°C
$1,178 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$353 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies and services such as timeanddate.com and AccuWeather indicate a daily maximum of 30–31°C for Shanghai on August 16, 2026, under overcast skies with scattered showers and moderate easterly flow. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit solar heating, while high humidity near 80–90% and regional atmospheric patterns sustain this range after earlier August peaks near 36°C. Ensemble guidance shows low uncertainty around these thresholds, with only modest upside risk from any unexpected clearing. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds centers on 30°C and 31°C because official surface observations will resolve the outcome, and current data favor values near the long-term August average high of approximately 31°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$28,130结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies and services such as timeanddate.com and AccuWeather indicate a daily maximum of 30–31°C for Shanghai on August 16, 2026, under overcast skies with scattered showers and moderate easterly flow. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit solar heating, while high humidity near 80–90% and regional atmospheric patterns sustain this range after earlier August peaks near 36°C. Ensemble guidance shows low uncertainty around these thresholds, with only modest upside risk from any unexpected clearing. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds centers on 30°C and 31°C because official surface observations will resolve the outcome, and current data favor values near the long-term August average high of approximately 31°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28,130结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from agencies and services such as timeanddate.com and AccuWeather indicate a daily maximum of 30–31°C for Shanghai on August 16, 2026, under overcast skies with scattered showers and moderate easterly flow. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit solar heating, while high humidity near 80–90% and regional atmospheric patterns sustain this range after earlier August peaks near 36°C. Ensemble guidance shows low uncertainty around these thresholds, with only modest upside risk from any unexpected clearing. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds centers on 30°C and 31°C because official surface observations will resolve the outcome, and current data favor values near the long-term August average high of approximately 31°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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